Prediction for match Bournemouth — Burnley

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 20, in the English Premier League, Bournemouth will face Burnley. The odds for a Bournemouth victory are 1.51, a draw is at 4.62, and a Burnley win is priced at 7.21. According to the probabilities distributed by the bookmakers, Bournemouth is given a 65.09% chance of winning, a draw is at 21.27%, and Burnley has a 13.63% chance. Among additional markets, over 2.5 total goals is at 1.76, while under 2.5 is at 2.23. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.83, no is at 1.89. For individual totals, Bournemouth over 1.5 goals is at 1.55, and Burnley over 0.5 is at 1.63. Double chance options: 1X is at 1.12, 12 is at 1.24, X2 is at 2.74.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of possession, Bournemouth averages 54% over the last 5 games, while Burnley averages 46.8%. Bournemouth collects 2.6 yellow cards per match, commits 12.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times. Burnley, in the same series, receives 1.4 yellows, commits 9.6 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. In their last three matches, Bournemouth played as follows: 15.12.2025 - Manchester United - Bournemouth 4-4, 06.12.2025 - Bournemouth - Chelsea 0-0, 02.12.2025 - Bournemouth - Everton 0-1. Burnley's last three games were: 13.12.2025 - Burnley - Fulham 2-3, 06.12.2025 - Newcastle - Burnley 2-1, 03.12.2025 - Burnley - Crystal Palace 0-1. In their last head-to-head on 03.03.2024, Burnley lost to Bournemouth 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Bournemouth has an average total of 3.6 goals, while Burnley has 3. Bournemouth scores an average of 1.6 goals per game, Burnley 0.8, with Bournemouth conceding 2 and Burnley 2.2. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 3 out of 5 matches going over. By halves, Bournemouth has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in both the first and second halves, while Burnley has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in each half. Bournemouth most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (33%), and Burnley in the same interval (57%). Conceding-wise, Bournemouth often concedes in the first 15 minutes (33%), while Burnley concedes in the 31-45 and 76-90 intervals (38% each). Considering both teams have an over-profile on totals, Bournemouth consistently scores, and Burnley regularly concedes, a bet on over 2.5 at 1.76 seems justified. Support by halves and total passes in recent matches of both teams also suggest a high-scoring encounter.

Corner Bets

Bournemouth takes an average of 4.4 corners per match, Burnley 5.8. For over 9.5 corners, Bournemouth has 1 out of 5, Burnley 4 out of 5. Among all corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10.2) is 10.5: over 10.5 is at 1.99, under is at 1.83. For the corner outcome, Bournemouth is the favorite at odds of 1.26. Considering Burnley's activity in corners and Bournemouth's average performance, it makes sense to consider over 10.5 corners or Bournemouth's win on this metric. It's also notable that Burnley often hits over 9.5 corners, supporting a choice on the higher end for corners.