Prediction for match Brentford — Newcastle, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Brentford vs Newcastle

On November 9th, Brentford will face Newcastle in the Premier League. The odds for a Newcastle win are 2.35, a Brentford victory is at 2.90, and a draw is priced at 3.50. In terms of probabilities: Newcastle has 40.29%, Brentford 32.65%, and a draw is at 27.05%. Newcastle stands out as the favorite according to the odds and probabilities, but the gap between the teams is not critical, promising a hard-fought match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brentford has an average possession of 48.4%, with 2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Newcastle averages 54% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside. Recent games for Brentford: 01.11 Crystal Palace - Brentford 2-0, 28.10 Grimsby Town - Brentford 0-5, 25.10 Brentford - Liverpool 3-2. For Newcastle: 05.11 Newcastle - Athletic Bilbao 2-0, 02.11 West Ham - Newcastle 3-1, 29.10 Newcastle - Tottenham 2-0. In their head-to-head match on 02.04, Newcastle beat Brentford 2-1, with the total over 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

In the last 5 games, Brentford had 2 matches over 2.5 goals and 3 under, while Newcastle had 3 out of 5 over 2.5. During this period, the average goals per match are: Brentford 3 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1; Newcastle averages 2.8 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 0.8. By halves: Brentford had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and twice in the second half; Newcastle had 1 in the first half and 2 in the second. Brentford most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (40%), while Newcastle scores either late in the first half (31-45, 25%) or in the last 15 minutes (76-90, 25%). In terms of conceding: Brentford between 31-45 (30%), Newcastle between 0-15 and 46-60 (50% each). The overall goal dynamics and consistent attacking metrics justify a bet on both teams to score. Both teams regularly find the net and have an average scoring rate above two goals per game. This is supported by the frequency of matches going over 2.5 goals and the interval scoring statistics.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Brentford averages 5.2 corners per match, while Newcastle averages 6.2. Both teams hit over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The line is set at 10.5 corners: over at 2.00, under at 1.73. Brentford is the favorite for corner outcomes at 1.95. With such average ratios and moderate total hitting frequency, it makes sense to consider the over 10.5 corners option, given that both teams generate 5 or more corners per game. Corners are more frequently recorded in the second half, but both teams have stable distribution across halves. It is also worth noting that Newcastle commits fouls slightly more often, which can lead to additional set pieces.