Prediction for match Brighton — Arsenal

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League on March 4th, Brighton will face Arsenal. According to the 1X2 odds, Arsenal's win is priced at 1.69, a draw at 4.32, and Brighton's success at 5.23. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Arsenal - 58.33%, draw - 22.82%, Brighton - 18.85%. Arsenal stands out as the favorite in this matchup, which is confirmed by both the percentages and the odds. The difference in win probability between the teams is quite noticeable, as reflected in the bookmakers' odds.

Team Recent Match Overview

In their last three matches, Brighton played as follows: 01.03.2026 - Brighton vs Nottingham Forest - 2-1, 21.02.2026 - Brentford vs Brighton - 0-2, 14.02.2026 - Liverpool vs Brighton - 3-0. Arsenal's last three results were: 01.03.2026 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - 2-1, 22.02.2026 - Tottenham vs Arsenal - 1-4, 18.02.2026 - Wolverhampton vs Arsenal - 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 27.12.2025, Arsenal hosted Brighton and won 2-1. Additional stats over a five-match period: Brighton averages 53.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Arsenal shows 58.6% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals in Brighton vs Arsenal

Over a five-match series, Brighton averages 2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Arsenal's average is much higher at 3.6, with 2.6 scored and 1 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Brighton had 2 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, while Arsenal had 4 out of 5. In the first half, Brighton had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Arsenal had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Brighton only once exceeded 1.5 goals, Arsenal did so 3 out of 5 times. Goal distribution: Brighton scores most often in the 0-15 minute range (33%), Arsenal from 16 to 30 minutes (40%). Brighton concedes evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 - each at 25%. Arsenal concedes more frequently in the 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals (each at 25%). Given Arsenal's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals, and decent average total, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Brighton averages 4.2 corners over the last 5 matches, Arsenal 4.4. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Brighton had 3 out of 5 games with 10 or more corners, Arsenal had 2 out of 5. Among the totals, the closest to the average sum (8.6) is the 8.5 total: over 8.5 is priced at 1.57, under 8.5 at 2.25. In the corners outcome line, Arsenal is the favorite with odds of 1.46. Considering the average stats of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified for this match.