Prediction for match Brighton — Bournemouth, 19.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League on January 19, Brighton will face Bournemouth. The odds for a Brighton win are 1.92, while Bournemouth is at 3.96, and a draw is at 4.12. The probabilities are as follows: Brighton - 51.26%, Bournemouth - 24.85%, draw - 23.89%. Brighton is marked as the favorite, but the gap with Bournemouth isn't critical, as reflected in the odds and percentages. A match tilted in Brighton's favor is expected, but Bournemouth is capable of putting up a fight.

Recent Matches Overview

In their last three matches, Brighton played as follows: January 11 - Manchester United vs Brighton 1-2, January 7 - Manchester City vs Brighton 1-1, January 3 - Brighton vs Burnley 2-0. During the same period, Bournemouth played the following matches: January 10 - Newcastle vs Bournemouth 10-9, January 7 - Bournemouth vs Tottenham 3-2, January 3 - Bournemouth vs Arsenal 2-3. In their head-to-head on September 13, 2025, Bournemouth defeated Brighton 2-1. Over the last five matches, Brighton had an average possession of 49.6%, committed 13.8 fouls, received 3 yellow cards, and recorded 2.4 offsides. Bournemouth had 41.2% possession, 14.6 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 1.6 offsides. These stats indicate an aggressive and dynamic style of play from both teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, Brighton's average total goals were 2.8, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Bournemouth's numbers are even higher: 5 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.8. For matches over 2.5 goals: Brighton had 3 out of 5, Bournemouth 5 out of 5. In the first half, Brighton only exceeded 1.5 goals once out of five, while Bournemouth did so 4 out of 5 times. In the second half, Brighton exceeded 1.5 goals twice, Bournemouth 4 out of 5. Brighton most often scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals (25% each), while Bournemouth scores most frequently in the 76-90 minute range (31%). Both teams are vulnerable to conceding between the 61-75 minutes: Brighton - 43%, Bournemouth - 40%. This dynamic confirms Bournemouth's high scoring rate and Brighton's steady attacking play. Given that both teams have over 2.5 goals in at least 3 out of 5 matches, and the average goals are high, a high-scoring match is expected. The odds for over 2.75 goals are 1.57, and this bet seems justified given the current form and statistics.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Over five matches, Brighton averages 2.8 corners, while Bournemouth averages 6.6. For matches over 9.5 corners: Brighton had 1 out of 5, Bournemouth 5 out of 5. Combining the averages gives 9.4, which is close to the 9.5 line. For a total of 9.5, the odds are: over 9.5 - 1.62, under 9.5 - 2.16. Brighton is favored for corners with odds of 1.70. Bournemouth's corner stats are notable: the team consistently delivers many, while Brighton's numbers are low. In this situation, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering Bournemouth's frequency and the overall trend in this component.