Prediction for match Brighton — Brentford, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On November 22, Brighton and Brentford will face off in the English Premier League. The odds are distributed as follows: Brighton's victory is at 1.98 with a probability of 49.75%, a draw is priced at 3.74 (26.34%), and Brentford's success is at 4.12 (23.91%). Brighton is considered the most likely winner, but Brentford also has decent chances given their attacking stats in recent matches. The market expects an open game with a focus on scoring in the second half, highlighted by the 1.97 odds for the second half being the most productive.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brighton has an average ball possession of 52.2%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Brentford has similar possession (52.2%), gets 1.8 yellows, commits 12.2 fouls, and is offside 2.6 times. In their last three games, Brighton drew 0-0 with Crystal Palace on November 9, beat Leeds 3-0 on November 1, and lost 2-0 to Arsenal on October 29. Brentford defeated Newcastle 3-1 on November 9, lost 0-2 to Crystal Palace on November 1, and thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 on October 28. In their last head-to-head on April 19, Brentford and Brighton played a 4-2 match, with the over 2.5 goals bet winning.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams saw over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. Brighton averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game, while Brentford is more prolific with 2.6 goals scored and only 1 conceded. Brighton averages 2.8 goals per game, and Brentford 3.6. Brighton hit over 1.5 goals in the second half in 4 out of 5 games, and Brentford in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Brighton went over 1.5 in 1 out of 5, and Brentford in 2 out of 5. By intervals: Brighton most often scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), Brentford between 46-60 minutes (38%). Brighton concedes most between 76-90 minutes (67%), Brentford between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (30% each). Based on these stats, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems logical. Both sides play attacking football, especially after the break, and recent head-to-heads have also been high-scoring.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over 5 games, Brighton averages 5.6 corners, Brentford 5.8. Brighton's over 9.5 corners bet won in 4 out of 5, Brentford's in 2 out of 5. The total corners bet is over 9 at 1.55 and under 9 at 2.03. Brighton is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.50. Given the average corner activity of both teams, betting on over 9 corners seems justified, especially considering Brighton's high frequency and Brentford's consistency in this metric. Additionally, both teams have above-average corner counts in the league, adding confidence to the over bet.