Prediction for match Brighton — Burnley, 03.01.2026

Match Analysis: Brighton vs Burnley

On January 3, 2026, Brighton will face Burnley in the English Premier League. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Brighton to win at 1.56, a draw at 4.47, and Burnley to win at 6.71. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Brighton - 63.23%, draw - 22.07%, Burnley - 14.70%. The main odds for totals are: over 2.5 goals - 1.78, under 2.5 goals - 2.20. Both teams to score: yes - 1.81, no - 1.91. Correct score options include: 1-0 and 2-0 at 7.00, 2-1 at 7.50, 1-1 at 8.00, 3-0 at 10.00, and 3-1 at 11.00. These odds indicate Brighton as the clear favorite, with bookmakers expecting a high-scoring match with goals likely from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brighton has an average possession of 56.4%, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and records 0.8 offsides per game. Burnley, over the same period, holds 44.6% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 9.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Brighton's last three matches: 30.12.2025 - West Ham 2-2 Brighton, 27.12.2025 - Arsenal 2-1 Brighton, 20.12.2025 - Brighton 0-0 Sunderland. Burnley's matches: 30.12.2025 - Burnley 1-3 Newcastle, 27.12.2025 - Burnley 0-0 Everton, 20.12.2025 - Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley. In their last head-to-head on 13.04.2024, Burnley and Brighton drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Brighton has an average total of 2.2 goals, while Burnley has 2.8. Brighton scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4 goals, whereas Burnley scores 1 and concedes 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Brighton has 2 out of 5 matches over, Burnley has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Brighton has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Burnley has 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 over 1.5. Brighton is most likely to score in the first 15 minutes (43%) and concedes from the 61st to 75th minute (60%). Burnley scores most frequently from the 16th to 45th minutes (33% in each interval) and concedes either at the start (38% from 0 to 15) or at the end (38% from 76 to 90). The overall dynamics of totals and average scoring for both teams suggest betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.78 as the main bet, given Burnley's noticeable over-profile and Brighton's tendency to concede goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Brighton averages 4.4 corners over five matches, while Burnley averages 6.4. For over 9.5 corners: Brighton has 2 out of 5, Burnley has 3 out of 5. The nearest total based on average corners is 10.8. For a total of 10.5 corners, the odds are: over 10.5 - 2.25, under 10.5 - 1.54. Brighton is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.32. Given Burnley's average corner activity and Brighton's decent numbers, considering over 10.5 corners is logical, especially if the match is played at a high pace with frequent attacks from both sides.