Prediction for match Brighton — Chelsea

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Premier League on 21.04.2026, Brighton will face Chelsea. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.57 for a Brighton win, 2.73 for a Chelsea victory, and a draw is priced at 3.84. In terms of probability, Brighton is rated at 38.30%, a draw at 25.64%, and Chelsea at 36.06%. Among additional markets, the bet "Both Teams to Score: Yes" stands out with odds of 1.53, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game with goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

Brighton's last three matches were: 18.04.2026 Tottenham vs Brighton 2-2, 11.04.2026 Burnley vs Brighton 0-2, 21.03.2026 Brighton vs Liverpool 2-1. Chelsea's last three games: 18.04.2026 Chelsea vs Manchester United 0-1, 12.04.2026 Chelsea vs Manchester City 0-3, 04.04.2026 Chelsea vs Port Vale 7-0. On average over five matches, Brighton has 53.6% possession, commits 12 fouls, receives 2.6 yellow cards, and records 1.4 offsides. Chelsea's stats are: 56.2% possession, 9.2 fouls, 1 yellow card, 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 27.09.2025, Chelsea lost to Brighton 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five games, Brighton's average total goals per match is 2.2, while Chelsea's is 3.4. Brighton scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8 per game, Chelsea also scores 1.4 but concedes more - 2. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Brighton has 2 out of 5, Chelsea 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for both teams, in the second half, Brighton 1 time, Chelsea 3 times out of 5. Brighton most frequently scores in four different 25% intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 76-90. Chelsea most often scores at the end (76-90, 30%). Brighton is most vulnerable at the end of halves (31-45 and 76-90 at 29%), Chelsea at the start (0-15, 29%) and in the second half (46-60, 61-75 at 29%). Chelsea's overall goal stats and frequent over 2.5 goals, along with both teams' consistent scoring, make the "Both Teams to Score: Yes" bet logical for this match.

Corners in the Match

Brighton averages 3.4 corners per game, Chelsea 7.4. In a series of five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times for each team. Among the offered corner totals, the 9.5 line is closest to the average sum (10.8). Odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.43, for under 9.5 - 2.70. Based on this statistic, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering Chelsea's high activity in this metric and frequent occurrences for both teams.