Prediction for match Brighton — Nottingham Forest

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League on March 1, 2026, Brighton will face Nottingham Forest. The odds for a Brighton win are 2.11, a draw is priced at 3.68, and a Nottingham Forest victory is at 3.70. Probability-wise: Brighton has a 46.65% chance, a draw is at 26.75%, and Nottingham Forest is at 26.60%. This setup highlights Brighton as the favorite, but the gap is not overwhelming. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.5 goals are at 1.89, while under 2.5 is at 2.06, reflecting some uncertainty about the match's goal tally.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brighton averages 53.4% possession, commits 14.4 fouls, receives 2.2 yellow cards, and records 2.4 offsides per game. Nottingham Forest holds possession 50.2% of the time, commits 12.6 fouls, receives 0.8 yellows, and is caught offside 1.8 times. In the last three matches, Brighton played as follows: 21.02.2026 Brentford - Brighton 0-2, 14.02.2026 Liverpool - Brighton 3-0, 11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton 1-0. For Nottingham Forest: 26.02.2026 Nottingham Forest - Fenerbahçe 1-2, 22.02.2026 Nottingham Forest - Liverpool 0-1, 19.02.2026 Fenerbahçe - Nottingham Forest 0-3. In their last head-to-head on 30.11.2025, Nottingham Forest lost to Brighton 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Brighton averages 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. Nottingham Forest has a higher average total of 2.2, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Brighton has just 1 out of 5, while Nottingham Forest has 3 out of 5. For first-half over 1.5 goals, Brighton hit it once and Nottingham Forest twice, with both teams having 2 second-half overs. Goal intervals show Brighton most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (40%), while Nottingham Forest scores between 16-30 minutes (50%). For goals conceded, Brighton's distribution is even across four intervals, while Nottingham Forest most often concedes between 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Overall, the stats of both teams do not indicate a high-scoring game, especially considering Brighton's low scoring and Nottingham Forest's moderate performance. In this scenario, betting on under 2.5 goals at 2.06 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Brighton averages 4.4 corners per match, while Nottingham Forest averages 8. Over their last five games, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for both teams. Considering corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.4) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 2.57, under 11.5 at 1.45. Brighton is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.63. Given the high average corner stats for both teams, it's reasonable to consider an over 11.5 corners bet, as well as Brighton's advantage in corners.