Prediction for match Brisbane Roar — Melbourne Victory, 28.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory on November 28, 2025, the odds are as follows: Brisbane Roar at 2.58, Melbourne Victory at 2.76, and a draw at 3.50. The probability percentages for the outcomes are: Brisbane Roar 37.43%, draw 27.59%, Melbourne Victory 34.99%. According to these odds and percentages, the teams are evenly matched, and either side could secure a win. The match promises to be intriguing until the final whistle, as the probabilities suggest a balanced encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Brisbane Roar has an average ball possession of 43.6%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and records 2 offsides per game. During the same period, Melbourne Victory averages 49% possession, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 8.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Brisbane Roar's last three matches: 23.11.2025 Auckland - Brisbane Roar 1-1, 09.11.2025 Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets 3-0, 31.10.2025 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 0-0. Melbourne Victory's last three matches: 22.11.2025 Sydney - Melbourne Victory 3-0, 08.11.2025 Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City 0-2, 31.10.2025 Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory 0-2. In their head-to-head on 01.03.2025, Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory drew 1-1, with the total under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Brisbane Roar went over 2.5 total goals twice and under three times. Melbourne Victory shows a similar pattern: two overs and three unders. Over this period, Brisbane Roar's average goals per match is 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Melbourne Victory has a higher average total of 2.8 goals but scores only 0.8 and concedes 2. By halves, Brisbane Roar has one over 1.5 goals in the first half and two in the second, while Melbourne Victory also has one over 1.5 in the first half and two in the second. In terms of scoring intervals, Brisbane Roar most often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (57%), while Melbourne Victory scores in the same interval (38%). Brisbane Roar concedes primarily between the 31st and 45th minute (100%), and Melbourne Victory between the 46th and 60th (50%). Looking at individual performances, Brisbane Roar scores 1.2 goals per game, while Melbourne Victory scores 0.8, with goals conceded at 0.6 versus 2. Both teams are not particularly prolific in attack, but Melbourne Victory often concedes many goals. Considering both teams have gone over 2.5 goals twice in their last five matches, and the average figures for Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory do not exceed 2.8, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.94.

Betting on Corners

Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory both average 4.6 corners per game over their last five matches. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Brisbane Roar two out of five, Melbourne Victory one out of five. In the corners market, over 9.5 is priced at 1.57, and under 9.5 at 2.16. Based on the statistics, less than 10 corners are more common, so a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical. For the corner outcome, Brisbane Roar is the favorite with odds of 1.65. Expect a moderate number of set-pieces in this match, and over 9.5 corners is unlikely.