Prediction for match Brisbane Roar — Wellington Phoenix

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix is scheduled for January 3, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Brisbane Roar are the favorites with odds of 1.75, a draw is offered at 3.86, and a Wellington Phoenix win is at 4.86. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 55.14% chance of a Brisbane Roar victory, 25% for a draw, and 19.86% for a Wellington Phoenix win. Both teams to score: 'Yes' is at 1.75, 'No' at 1.97, indicating expectations of goals from both sides. For the total over 2.5 goals, the odds are 1.85, while under is at 2.02, also suggesting a tendency towards a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brisbane Roar have averaged 47.2% possession, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 11.6 fouls, and been caught offside 2.4 times per game. Wellington Phoenix show a similar possession rate at 47.4%, but receive only 1 yellow card, commit 11 fouls, and are offside 2 times. Recent matches for Brisbane Roar: 31.12.2025 - Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar 1-2, 19.12.2025 - Macarthur vs Brisbane Roar 2-1, 13.12.2025 - Western Sydney Wanderers vs Brisbane Roar 0-0. Wellington Phoenix: 29.12.2025 - Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix 5-1, 21.12.2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners 3-1, 14.12.2025 - Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets 1-3. In their last head-to-head on 26.10.2025, Wellington Phoenix defeated Brisbane Roar 2-1.

Goals by Match Statistics

Brisbane Roar have scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 0.6 over their last 5 games, with an overall goal tally of 1.6 in matches involving them. Wellington Phoenix are significantly more prolific: scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.6, with an average total of 4.2. For matches going over 2.5 goals: Brisbane Roar have seen 2 out of 5 go over, while Wellington Phoenix have seen 5 out of 5. By halves, Brisbane Roar have only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in both first and second halves, while Wellington Phoenix have 2 out of 5 in the first half and 5 out of 5 in the second half. For scoring intervals, Brisbane Roar most frequently score between 61-75 minutes (50%), and concede late (76-90, 50%). Wellington Phoenix most often score between 46-60 minutes (31%) and concede in the same interval (46-60, 57%). Given Wellington Phoenix's high scoring rate, both teams' over 2.5 goals record, and second-half support, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems logical.

Corners Total Analysis

Brisbane Roar average 6.2 corners per game, Wellington Phoenix 4.4. In their last five matches, Brisbane Roar's corners total over 9.5 occurred 4 times, Wellington Phoenix's 2 times. For a corners total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 at 1.75, under at 1.94. For corners, Brisbane Roar are the favorites at 1.40. Based on the average sum of corners for both teams (10.6), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Brisbane Roar's frequency. Wellington Phoenix may deliver fewer, but the overall pace is maintained by Brisbane Roar's activity. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set-piece situations.