Prediction for match Brisbane Roar — Wellington Phoenix

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix on March 21, 2026, bookmakers give a slight edge to Brisbane Roar. The odds for a Brisbane Roar win are 2.06, a draw is at 3.62, and a Wellington Phoenix victory is at 3.64. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Brisbane Roar - 46.84%, draw - 26.65%, Wellington Phoenix - 26.51%. Therefore, Brisbane Roar is the favorite based on odds and probabilities, but the gap is not overwhelming, promising an intriguing contest.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Brisbane Roar's last three matches, they played Western Sydney Wanderers on March 13, 2026 (2-2), Perth Glory on February 28, 2026 (1-1), and Sydney on February 21, 2026 (0-1). Wellington Phoenix in their last three encounters faced Perth Glory on March 14, 2026 (2-0), Adelaide United on March 6, 2026 (1-1), and Sydney on March 1, 2026 (0-1). Over a five-match period, Brisbane Roar averages 40.2% ball possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game. Wellington Phoenix averages 45% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 3, 2026, Brisbane Roar lost to Wellington Phoenix 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, both teams have an average total of 2.4 goals per match for Brisbane Roar and 2.8 for Wellington Phoenix. Both teams have over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. In terms of halves, Brisbane Roar has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 games, while Wellington Phoenix has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Brisbane Roar hasn't had a match with over 1.5, whereas Wellington Phoenix has 2 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals, Brisbane Roar scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (33%), and Wellington Phoenix from the 46th to the 60th minute (40%). For conceded goals, Brisbane Roar has 50% in the 31-45 minute interval, while Wellington Phoenix has 33% in both the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals. Both teams average 1 goal per match, with Brisbane Roar conceding 1.4 and Wellington Phoenix 1.8. Considering both teams' low scoring nature and only 2 out of 5 matches for each having over 2.5 goals, a bet on under 3.0 goals at 1.51 seems logical and is supported by goal and half statistics.

Corners in the Match

Brisbane Roar averages 3 corners per game, Wellington Phoenix 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 3 out of 5 for Brisbane Roar and 2 out of 5 for Wellington Phoenix. The total closest to their average (8) is 8.5: odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.44, under 8.5 is 2.46. Brisbane Roar is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.31. Considering both teams' average figures and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, though under 8.5 is also plausible in a cautious game.