Prediction for match Bristol City — Derby County, 30.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on January 30, Bristol City will face Derby County. According to the 1X2 odds, Bristol City is priced at 2.01, a draw at 3.36, and a win for Derby County at 3.68. The probability percentages are as follows: Bristol City - 46.63%, draw - 27.90%, Derby County - 25.47%. Bookmakers favor Bristol City in this matchup, but the gap between the teams is not significant, which is reflected in both the odds and the percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bristol City has an average possession of 55.6%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 3 offsides per game. Derby County, over the same period, shows 46.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Bristol City's recent matches: January 24 - Bristol City vs Sheffield Wednesday 2-0, January 20 - Ipswich Town vs Bristol City 2-0, January 17 - Oxford United vs Bristol City 0-0. For Derby County: January 23 - Derby County vs West Bromwich 1-1, January 20 - Charlton Athletic vs Derby County 1-2, January 17 - Preston North End vs Derby County 0-1. The last encounter between the teams was on August 22, 2025: Derby County vs Bristol City 1-1.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In terms of goals over the last 5 games, Bristol City has an average total of 2.4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Derby County has an average total of 2.6, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, Bristol City had just 1 out of 5 games go over, while Derby County had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Bristol City and twice for Derby County. In the second half, both teams had 2 games go over 1.5. Bristol City most frequently scored between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), while Derby County scored most often between the 31st and 45th minute (75%). For goals conceded, Bristol City's most frequent interval is the 61st to 75th minute (67%), and for Derby County, it's the 46th to 60th minute (40%). Given the moderate average totals and Bristol City's not very high scoring, along with Derby County's 3 out of 5 games over 2.5, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical. The odds for under 2.5 are 1.73.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bristol City averages 5 corners per match, while Derby County averages 5.6. In their last 5 games, both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. Among the available corner totals, 10.5 is closest to the sum of their averages. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.20, and for under 10.5, it's 1.58. Bristol City is favored in corners with odds of 1.57. Statistically, both teams are capable of ensuring a high total of corners, especially if the game remains balanced. Betting on over 10.5 corners seems justified, given the frequency and average values.