Prediction for match Bristol City — Portsmouth, 01.01.2026

Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Portsmouth

In the English Championship on January 1st, Bristol City will face Portsmouth. According to the 1X2 odds, Bristol City is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.76, a draw at 3.64, and a Portsmouth victory at 4.46. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Bristol City 53.24%, draw 25.74%, Portsmouth 21.01%. This setup confirms that bookmakers expect Bristol City to have an advantage, but a draw is also possible. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.87, while under 2.5 goals is at 1.90, indicating a fairly balanced line for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

Bristol City, over a five-match series, shows 45% possession, averages 2.2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Portsmouth, on the other hand, has 54.4% possession, 1.8 yellows, 8.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Bristol City played: 29.12.2025 Millwall 2-1 Bristol City, 26.12.2025 West Bromwich 1-2 Bristol City, 20.12.2025 Bristol City 2-0 Middlesbrough. Portsmouth's recent results: 29.12.2025 Portsmouth 2-1 Charlton Athletic, 26.12.2025 Portsmouth 1-1 QPR, 20.12.2025 Derby County 1-1 Portsmouth. Their last head-to-head was on 29.11.2025: Portsmouth 0-1 Bristol City.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Bristol City had over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Portsmouth had two overs and three unders in the same span. The average number of goals in Bristol City's matches is 2.6, while Portsmouth's is 2.2. In terms of goals scored, Bristol City averages 1.4, Portsmouth 1.2. They concede 1.2 and 1 respectively. By halves: Bristol City had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and in the second half twice in five games, while Portsmouth had it once in the first half and twice in the second. Bristol City most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (38%), and Portsmouth in the same interval (43%). Bristol City concedes most often between the 16th and 30th minute (40%), while Portsmouth has an even distribution across four intervals: 0-15, 31-45, 61-75, 76-90 (25% each). These stats suggest both teams are capable of scoring and conceding in the second half, and their average goal numbers are not low. Considering the balance of over 2.5 goals, average goal figures, and movements in the second half, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Bristol City averages 6 corners per match, Portsmouth 6.2. In the last five games, Bristol City had over 9.5 corners three times, Portsmouth five out of five. Among the proposed corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.2) is 11 corners: over 11 is priced at 2.42, under 11 at 1.48. For the corner outcome, Bristol City is the favorite with odds of 1.39. Based on recent match dynamics, both teams consistently win a lot of corners, especially Portsmouth. It makes sense to consider over 11 corners if focusing on average figures and frequency of occurrences.