Prediction for match Bristol City — Swansea, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Swansea City

In the Championship on November 22, Bristol City will face Swansea City. The main odds for the match outcome are: Bristol City win at 2.21, draw at 3.20, and Swansea City win at 3.30. Probability distribution shows: 42.37% for Bristol City, 29.26% for a draw, and 28.37% for Swansea City win. Bristol City is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams is less than 14 percentage points, indicating a competitive matchup. The over 2.5 goals market is offered at 2.13, suggesting an expectation of goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Bristol City has an average possession of 37.8%, with 0.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Swansea City, in the same period, shows 49.2% possession, 2 cautions, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Recent results for Bristol City: 07.11 Watford 1-1 Bristol City, 04.11 Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn Rovers, 01.11 Stoke City 5-1 Bristol City. Swansea City: 08.11 Swansea City 1-4 Ipswich Town, 05.11 Preston North End 2-1 Swansea City, 01.11 Charlton Athletic 1-1 Swansea City. In their last head-to-head on 09.02.2025, Bristol City lost to Swansea City 0-1, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Bristol City has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Swansea City has 3.4. Both teams have the same average goals scored in this period - 1.2. Conceded goals: Bristol City - 1.6, Swansea City - 2.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred twice for Bristol City and four times for Swansea City. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened 3 out of 5 times for Bristol City, and 2 times for Swansea City. In the second halves, Swansea City saw over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, while Bristol City saw it 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Bristol City scores evenly across all fifteen-minute segments (20% in each of the five intervals), while Swansea City scores early (0-15 minutes - 43%) and right after the break (46-60 minutes - 43%). Conceded goals: Bristol City mostly between 16-30 minutes (50%), and Swansea City in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 50%). Given these figures, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical, considering Swansea City's regularity in this market and the high average goals.

Corners Total Analysis

In terms of corners, Bristol City averages 4.4 over five matches, Swansea City 4.8. Over 9.5 corners happened 2 out of 5 times for Bristol City, and 3 times for Swansea City. The line for corners total is over 9.5 at 1.94, under 9.5 at 1.80. The favorite for corners outcome is Swansea City with odds of 2.12. Given the average activity of both teams and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on this outcome seems justified for this match.