Prediction for match Bristol City — Wrexham

Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Wrexham

In the English Championship on 17.02.2026, Bristol City will face Wrexham. Odds for a Bristol City win are 2.08, for a Wrexham victory - 3.32, and a draw is priced at 3.50. In terms of probability percentages: Bristol City - 45.03%, draw - 26.76%, Wrexham - 28.21%. Bristol City is the favorite according to the odds, but the difference between the teams is not significant, promising an intriguing encounter. The goal total bets are quite balanced: over 2.5 goals is at 1.91, under 2.5 at 1.86, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.72, no at 2.01.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Bristol City: defeated Hull City 3-2 on February 7, lost to Derby County 0-5 on January 30, and won against Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 on January 24. In Wrexham's last three games: they beat Ipswich Town 1-0 on February 13, lost to Millwall 0-2 on February 7, and defeated Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 on January 31. In their head-to-head match on November 26, 2025, Wrexham was stronger than Bristol City with a score of 2-0. Additional stats: Bristol City averages 50.8% possession, 9.6 fouls, 2 yellow cards, and 1.8 offsides per game over their last five matches. Wrexham averages 54.2% possession, 9 fouls, 0.8 yellow cards, and 1 offside. These numbers indicate that Wrexham plays a bit more cautiously and controls the ball more often, while Bristol City commits more fouls and receives more cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Bristol City has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, while Wrexham's average is 2.2. Bristol City scores 1 goal per match and concedes 1.8, while Wrexham scores 1.2 and concedes 1. In terms of games over 2.5 goals: Bristol City had 2 out of 5 matches go over, while Wrexham had only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Bristol City out of 5, while Wrexham had none. In the second half, both teams tend to play more productively: Bristol City had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Wrexham also had 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Bristol City most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%) and concedes most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%). Wrexham distributes its goals across various intervals but scores most frequently in four intervals at 25% each, and concedes mainly at the end (76-90 minutes, 57%). Overall, neither team shows a consistent over-profile, but goal activity is noticeably higher in the second half. Considering the average scoring, Bristol City's games over 2.5, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.91 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Bristol City averages 4.8 corners per match, while Wrexham averages 5.4. For games over 9.5 corners: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches exceed this total. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. In corner outcome bets, Bristol City is favored with odds of 1.68. Considering both teams' average activity and frequent high total passes, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially since both teams consistently deliver at least 4-5 corners per game.