Prediction for match Young Boys — Lugano

Match Preview

In the Swiss Super League on 22.03.2026, Young Boys will face Lugano. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Young Boys win at 1.95, draw at 3.70, and Lugano win at 3.52. According to probability estimates, Young Boys have a 48.05% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.33%, and Lugano's chances of winning are 26.62%. The betting line also highlights 'both teams to score: yes' at 1.51, indicating high expectations for goals from both sides. Among the goal totals, the options closest to balance are over 2.5 goals at 1.53 and under 3.5 goals also at 1.53.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Young Boys secured two victories: on 15.03.2026 Lausanne 0-2 Young Boys, on 08.03.2026 Young Boys 1-2 Thun, and on 04.03.2026 Luzern 1-2 Young Boys. During the same period, Lugano played as follows: on 17.03.2026 St. Gallen 1-1 Lugano, on 07.03.2026 Lugano 1-3 Luzern, and on 04.03.2026 Lugano 2-1 Sion. In their last head-to-head meeting on 21.12.2025, Lugano defeated Young Boys 3-0. In additional metrics over a five-match span, Young Boys have an average ball possession of 56.6%, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Lugano shows 61.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides on average per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Young Boys have been playing high-scoring football: in a five-match series, the team averages 3 total goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 on average. Lugano, over the same period, averages 2.6 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Young Boys have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Lugano has done so in 3 out of 5. By halves, Young Boys have gone over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times out of 5, while both teams have only gone over 1.5 goals in the first half once each. In terms of goal intervals, Young Boys most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Lugano scores most often in the first 15 minutes (43%). Young Boys are most vulnerable to conceding between the 46th and 60th minutes (63%), and Lugano in the final minutes from the 76th to 90th (50%). All this suggests a high likelihood of both teams finding the net: the attacking stats of both teams are supported by the statistics of goal totals and the distribution of goals by halves. The bet 'both teams to score: yes' at 1.51 seems logical, considering both teams have average goals scored above 1, and the total over 2.5 has been hit in 7 of their last 10 combined matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Young Boys earn an average of 5.6 corners per game, while Lugano averages 4.2. In the last five matches, Young Boys exceeded the total corners over 9.5 three times, while Lugano did so once. Among the corner totals closest to the sum of the averages (9.8) is the line for over 9.5 corners at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.95. For corners, Young Boys are the favorites with odds of 1.64. Given the average activity of both teams, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, especially considering Young Boys consistently deliver more than five corners per match, while Lugano adds their four or more corners. Individual corner totals for Young Boys, where over 5.5 is at 1.94, can also be considered.