Prediction for match Bulgaria — Georgia

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the World Cup qualification match between Bulgaria and Georgia, bookmakers clearly favor the Georgian team. The odds for a Georgia win are set at 1.62, a draw is priced at 4.00, and a win for Bulgaria is at 5.25. The probability distribution is as follows: Bulgaria win 18.01%, draw 23.63%, Georgia win 58.36%. Thus, Georgia is distinctly highlighted as the favorite in this matchup according to all assessments.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent matches, Bulgaria has an average possession of 27.8% over their last five games, with 1.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. In these metrics, Georgia appears more stable: 45% possession, 1.4 cautions, 9 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Bulgaria's last three matches: November 15, 2025, Turkey vs. Bulgaria 2-0, October 14, 2025, Spain vs. Bulgaria 4-0, October 11, 2025, Bulgaria vs. Turkey 1-6. Georgia played as follows: November 15, 2025, Georgia vs. Spain 0-4, October 14, 2025, Turkey vs. Georgia 4-1, October 11, 2025, Spain vs. Georgia 2-0. In their head-to-head on September 7, 2025, Georgia defeated Bulgaria 3-0, surpassing a total of 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches: Bulgaria had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, and Georgia the same. In the first half, Bulgaria had more than 1.5 goals three out of five times, while Georgia did so all five times. In the second half, both teams had two instances of over 1.5 goals out of five. The average over the five-game stretch matches: 3.8 goals per game for both teams. Bulgaria scores only 0.2 while conceding 3.6, and Georgia scores 1.2 while conceding 2.6. Bulgaria most frequently scored between the 76th and 90th minutes (30%), while Georgia scored most often between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Bulgaria conceded most frequently between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), while Georgia conceded evenly across three different intervals at 25%. Based on this statistics and the high scoring nature of both sides, betting on over 2.5 goals seems a logical choice.

Corner Bets

For corners, Bulgaria averages 2.6 per match, while Georgia averages 4. In the last five matches, both teams had 3 instances of over 9.5 corners. The total over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.67. Georgia's win on corners is priced at 1.36. Based on the statistics, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners or a Georgia win on corners is reasonable, given the trend towards higher totals and Georgia's edge in average corner count.