Prediction for match Bulgaria — Turkey

Who is the favorite in the Bulgaria vs Turkey match?

In the European qualifiers for the World Cup, Bulgaria will face Turkey on October 11, 2025. The 1X2 odds show a significant advantage for Turkey: odds for their victory are 1.27, with a probability of 74.81%. A draw is at 5.50 (17.27%), while Bulgaria's win is rated at 12.00 (7.92%). This reflects the difference in current performances and expectations for the teams at this stage of qualification.

Team results and statistics

Bulgaria scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 2.8 per game over a five-match span, with an average total of 3.4 goals in their matches. Turkey, over the same period, scores 1.6 and concedes 2 goals per game, with an average total of 3.6. Bulgaria recently lost to Georgia 0-3 (09/07/2025) and Spain 0-3 (09/04/2025), and drew 2-2 with Cyprus (06/06/2025). Turkey recently defeated Hungary 3-0 (03/23/2025) and USA 2-1 (06/07/2025), but suffered a heavy defeat to Spain 0-6 (09/07/2025). In terms of corners, Bulgaria averages 1.4 per game, while Turkey averages 5.6. Possession is 22.2% for Bulgaria and 48% for Turkey. The teams have not faced each other in recent years, adding an element of uncertainty.

How many goals can we expect?

In Bulgaria's last five matches, the total over 2.5 was achieved 5 times, and for Turkey, 4 out of 5. The average total for both teams exceeds 3.4, confirming the high-scoring nature of recent games. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was recorded for Bulgaria 3 times, for Turkey 4 times, and in the second half, 3 times for Bulgaria and 2 for Turkey. The most frequent scoring interval for Bulgaria is 61-75 minutes (45%), while Turkey's goals are evenly distributed across four 25% intervals. Bulgaria concedes most often between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each), while Turkey concedes towards the end of the first half (29%).

Corners in the match

On average, Bulgaria delivers 1.4 corners per game over 5 matches, while Turkey delivers 5.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Bulgaria is 1 out of 5, and for Turkey, 2 out of 5. The odds for a total over 8.5 corners are 1.82, and for under 1.98. In the corners competition, Turkey is favored with odds of 1.22.