Prediction for match Burgos — Albacete, 08.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Spanish Segunda Division on December 8, Burgos will face Albacete. The odds for a Burgos win are set at 2.26, a draw is priced at 3.10, and an Albacete victory is at 3.60. According to probabilities, Burgos has a 42.43% chance of winning, a draw is at 30.93%, and Albacete's chances are 26.64%. These odds suggest a moderate advantage for Burgos, but a draw is also seen as a feasible outcome. The game promises to be interesting in terms of the distribution of chances, considering the difference between the teams is not overwhelming.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burgos has averaged 45.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. Albacete, over the same period, recorded 39.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. In their last three matches, Burgos lost to AD Ceuta 0-1, fell to Racing Santander 0-2, and defeated Mirandés 2-0. Albacete, in their last three games, lost to Deportivo La Coruña 0-2, were beaten by Las Palmas 1-2, and won against FC Andorra 1-0. In their last head-to-head on March 10, 2025, Burgos emerged victorious over Albacete with a score of 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding scoring, Burgos has an average total of 1.6 goals per match in their last five games, scoring an average of 0.8 and conceding 0.8. Albacete has a significantly higher average total of 2.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Burgos has only 1 out of 5 games over, while Albacete has 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams recorded just 1 game over 1.5 goals out of 5. In the second half, Burgos also has 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Albacete has 2 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Burgos most often scores in the first 30 minutes (50% in intervals 0-15 and 16-30), and concedes most frequently at the end of the first half (31-45 - 33%) and in the last 15 minutes (76-90 - 33%). Albacete most often scores at the beginning of the second half (46-60 - 50%), and concedes evenly across all intervals, with 17% in each fifteen-minute segment. Overall, Burgos shows low attacking potential, while Albacete plays more productively but has a vulnerable defense. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.62 seems justified, considering Burgos's low scoring and the not-so-high frequency of overs in the recent matches of both teams.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, both teams show the same average result - 5.2 per game over their last five matches. Burgos had 4 out of their last 5 matches go over 9.5 corners, while Albacete had 2 out of 5. For the 9.5 total, both outcomes are available: over 9.5 is at 2.01, under 9.5 is at 1.70. For corner outcomes, Burgos is the favorite with odds of 1.63. Overall, it's expected that both teams will actively use the flanks, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering Burgos's statistics and the average figures for both teams.