Prediction for match Burgos — Cadiz, 14.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda Division on February 14, Burgos will face Cadiz. The odds for a Burgos win are 2.15, a draw is priced at 3.08, and a Cadiz victory is at 3.95. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 44.60% for a Burgos win, 31.13% for a draw, and 24.27% for Cadiz. Burgos is seen as the favorite according to the odds, but the gap isn't significant, indicating a potential contest. Betting options for total goals and both teams to score are also available with interesting odds, but bookmakers emphasize a low-scoring nature for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Burgos played as follows: February 7 against Las Palmas - 0-0, January 31 against Leganes - 2-1, January 23 against Malaga - 0-3. Cadiz's last three matches were: February 8 against Almeria - 1-2, February 1 against Huesca - 0-1, January 24 against Granada - 1-2. Looking at their recent head-to-head, on October 20, 2025, Cadiz lost to Burgos 1-3. In secondary metrics over five matches, Burgos averages 44.8% possession, commits 12.2 fouls, receives 3.6 yellow cards, and records 2 offsides. Cadiz, by these parameters, has 52% possession, 11 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 2.2 offsides. These figures show Cadiz's slightly more disciplined play and greater activity in ball control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, over a five-match span, Burgos has an average total goals per match of 1.8, while Cadiz has 2.6. Burgos scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 1.2, Cadiz scores 1 and concedes 1.6 respectively. In their last 5 games, Burgos played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, Cadiz played over three times and under twice. By halves, Burgos had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and the same in the second. For Cadiz, it's similar: 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 2 out of 5 in the second. The most frequent intervals for goals for Burgos are the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and for Cadiz - 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 (29% each). In terms of goals conceded, Burgos most often allows goals at the start, middle of the second half, and end (33% each), Cadiz - at the start and end (33% each). Overall, both teams do not show high scoring, especially Burgos, which is confirmed by the low average number of goals scored. Based on this data, it's logical to expect a total under 2.5 at 1.40.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Burgos averages 3.6 corners, Cadiz - 6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Burgos had only 1 out of 5 matches over, Cadiz - 5 out of 5 over. Among the presented corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages (3.6 + 6 = 9.6) is 9.5: the total corners over 9.5 is priced at 2.01, under 9.5 at 1.70. In corner outcome betting, Burgos is favored with odds of 1.56. Considering Cadiz's high activity in taking corners and Burgos's moderate figures, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, especially given Cadiz's frequency of achieving this outcome.