Prediction for match Burgos — Getafe

Match Analysis: Burgos vs Getafe

In the Copa del Rey on December 18, 2025, Burgos will face Getafe. According to the 1X2 odds, Getafe is slightly favored to win with a price of 2.60, a draw is at 2.96, and a Burgos victory is at 3.19. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Burgos 30.26%, Draw 32.61%, Getafe 37.13%. This reflects a slight edge for Getafe, but a draw is also highly regarded by the bookmakers. Overall, the match promises to be a tight contest with both teams likely to adopt a cautious approach in their attacking play.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burgos has averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, with 47.8% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 3 offsides. Getafe, in the same period, has averaged 0.8 goals scored, 1.2 conceded, 47.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Burgos: 14.12 Almeria - Burgos 1-2, 08.12 Burgos - Albacete 0-1, 29.11 AD Ceuta - Burgos 1-0. Getafe: 13.12 Getafe - Espanyol 0-1, 06.12 Villarreal - Getafe 2-0, 02.12 Navalcarnero - Getafe 2-3. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown low scoring in their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals per game. The average number of goals in Burgos' matches is 1.8, and for Getafe, it is 2. In terms of over 2.5 goals: only 1 out of 5 matches for Burgos went over, and the same for Getafe - 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals, the situation is slightly better: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals. By halves, both teams are also not inclined to high scoring: over 1.5 goals in the first half was recorded only once in 5, and the same in the second half. The most frequent intervals for Burgos' goals are 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (both 50%), for Getafe - 0-15 minutes (40%). Both teams are most vulnerable at the end of the match: Burgos conceded 43% of their goals from the 76th to the 90th minute, Getafe 50% in the same interval. Overall, the statistics indicate a low-scoring trend and limited goal opportunities. The most logical choice here seems to be a bet on under 2.25 goals at 1.51 - both teams score rarely, seldom exceed high totals, and there are no clear spikes in scoring by halves or intervals.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for both teams over five matches is 4.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: 3 out of 5 matches for Burgos ended with 10 or more corners, and the same for Getafe - 3 out of 5. The line closest to the combined average (9.2) is 9.5 corners: over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.23, under 9.5 at 1.61. In the corner market, Getafe is favored with odds of 1.92. Based on the statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified - both teams regularly deliver 4-5 corners, and in most matches, the total exceeded 9.5.