Prediction for match Burgos — Leganes, 31.01.2026

Match Analysis: Burgos vs Leganes

In the Segunda Division on January 31st, Burgos will face Leganes. The odds for a Burgos win are 2.35, a draw is at 2.96, and a Leganes victory is priced at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Burgos - 40.87%, Draw - 32.45%, Leganes - 26.68%. Although Burgos is favored by the odds, the difference between the teams is not significant, indicating a potentially tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burgos has maintained 50.2% ball possession, averaged 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Leganes has slightly better ball control at 54.4%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Burgos' last three matches were: 23.01.2026 Malaga 3-0 Burgos, 18.01.2026 Burgos 1-0 Huesca, 15.01.2026 Burgos 0-2 Valencia. Leganes' last three matches: 24.01.2026 Leganes 2-0 Real Sociedad II, 16.01.2026 Castellon 2-0 Leganes, 11.01.2026 Leganes 3-0 Real Valladolid. Their last head-to-head was on November 1, 2025: Leganes 1-2 Burgos.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Burgos has shown low scoring: only 1 out of 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, with 4 being under. Leganes is slightly more active with 2 out of 5 over 2.5 goals, 3 under. In the first half, Burgos had 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, Leganes had 2. In the second half, Burgos had none over 1.5, Leganes had 2 out of 5. Burgos averages 1.8 goals per match over 5 games, scoring just 0.4 and conceding 1.4. Leganes averages a total of 2.4, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.8. By halves, Burgos most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (43%), while Leganes scores towards the end (76-90 minutes, 30%). Burgos often concedes early (0-15 minutes, 50%) and just after the break (46-60 minutes, 50%), Leganes in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 50%). Considering Burgos' low scoring and Leganes' moderate activity, a bet on under 2.25 goals at odds of 1.51 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Both teams average 4.6 corners per match over the last 5 games. In their last five, the total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Burgos, three times for Leganes. For a total of 9.5 corners, the odds are: over 9.5 at 2.16, under 9.5 at 1.57. Burgos is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.69. Overall, considering averages and frequencies, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, but there could be bursts of activity, especially from Leganes.