Prediction for match Burgos — Mirandes

Match Analysis: Burgos vs Mirandes

On March 7th, Burgos will face Mirandes in the Segunda. Bookmakers have Burgos as the favorite, offering odds of 1.84 for their victory, 3.34 for a draw, and 4.99 for a Mirandes win. The 1X2 probabilities are: Burgos 52.09%, draw 28.70%, Mirandes 19.21%. This setup highlights Burgos's advantage in odds and percentages, but the gap between a draw and a Mirandes win isn't significant, adding intrigue to the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burgos has shown average possession of 47%, with 2.2 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Mirandes has lower possession at 40.8%, with 3.2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three games, Burgos played as follows: February 28, 2026, Real Zaragoza vs Burgos 0-1, February 22, 2026, Racing Santander vs Burgos 1-0, February 14, 2026, Burgos vs Cadiz 1-1. Mirandes in their last three encounters: March 1, 2026, Mirandes vs AD Ceuta 0-1, February 21, 2026, Huesca vs Mirandes 1-2, February 15, 2026, Mirandes vs Las Palmas 1-1. The last head-to-head match was on November 16, 2025: Mirandes vs Burgos 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Burgos has an average total of 1.4 goals per match, while Mirandes has 2.0. Scored: Burgos 0.8, Mirandes 1.0. Conceded: Burgos 0.6, Mirandes 1.0. Over 2.5 goals: Burgos 1 out of 5, Mirandes 2 out of 5. Over 1.5 goals in the first half: Burgos 1 out of 5, Mirandes 0 out of 5. Over 1.5 goals in the second half: Burgos 1 out of 5, Mirandes 3 out of 5. Burgos scores evenly across four intervals (0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 76-90), conceding 33% in three (0-15, 61-75, 76-90). Mirandes scores most in the 46-60 and 76-90 intervals (40% each), conceding most in the 46-60 (40%). Considering the low averages in goals and totals, as well as frequent under 2.5 results, it makes sense to consider under 2.5 goals at 1.49, though the odds are low. A riskier option is both teams to score: no at 1.57, supported by Burgos's low scoring and Mirandes's not very high scoring, along with frequent clean sheets in recent rounds.

Corners in the Match

Over the last five matches, Burgos averages 3.6 corners, Mirandes 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Burgos 2 out of 5, Mirandes 4 out of 5. Among totals with outcomes closest to the average sum (8.6) is 8.5: over 8.5 at 1.72, under 8.5 at 1.98. Burgos is favored in corners with odds of 1.47. Based on averages, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Mirandes's activity in this metric. Individual corner totals for Mirandes could also be considered, given their average of 5 per game.