Prediction for match Burnley — Bournemouth

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Bournemouth

The English Premier League presents a clash between Burnley and Bournemouth on 14.03.2026. In the 1X2 odds, Bournemouth is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.90, Burnley's at 4.16, and a draw at 4.01. Looking at the percentages, Bournemouth's chance of success is 51.80%, a draw is 24.54%, and Burnley's win is at 23.66%. This setup highlights Bournemouth's advantage, but Burnley is not without hope, considering the balance of power in recent games. The betting line also offers both teams to score: yes at 1.63 and no at 2.17, indicating that bookmakers are leaning towards both teams finding the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley has an average possession of 43.6%, with 2 yellow cards per game, 10.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Bournemouth holds the ball more often at 53.6%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and records 1.8 offsides per match. Burnley's last three games: 03.03.2026 Everton - Burnley 2-0, 28.02.2026 Burnley - Brentford 3-4, 21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1-1. Bournemouth's last three encounters: 03.03.2026 Bournemouth - Brentford 0-0, 28.02.2026 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1-1, 21.02.2026 West Ham - Bournemouth 0-0. In their head-to-head on 20.12.2025, Bournemouth and Burnley drew 1-1. In the last five matches, Burnley's average yellow cards and fouls remain stable, while Bournemouth's are slightly higher. Offsides are more frequent for Burnley, but the difference is not critical. Bournemouth significantly surpasses its opponent in possession, which could impact game control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Burnley has been involved in high-scoring games recently, with an average of 3.8 goals in their matches, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.2 per game. Bournemouth, on the other hand, plays low-scoring matches: an average total of 1.4, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6. For matches over 2.5 goals, Burnley has 3 out of 5 over, Bournemouth only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Burnley has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Bournemouth 0 out of 5. In the second half, Burnley has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Bournemouth 1 out of 5. For goal intervals: Burnley often scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), while Bournemouth in the same intervals and additionally 61-75 (33% each). For goals conceded: Burnley is most vulnerable from 31 to 45 minutes (40%), Bournemouth from 16 to 30 and 61 to 75 minutes (50% each). Despite Bournemouth's low-scoring profile, Burnley regularly scores and concedes, and Bournemouth can find the net, especially in the second half. Overall, both teams have the potential to score, as supported by the both teams to score odds: yes at 1.63.

Corner Totals Analysis

Burnley averages 4.6 corners per match, Bournemouth 5.8. For matches over 9.5 corners, Burnley has 4 out of 5 over, Bournemouth 3 out of 5. Adding up the averages gives 10.4, close to the 10.5 total line. The odds for corner totals: over 10.5 is at 1.97, under 10.5 at 1.78. In the corner outcome bet, Bournemouth is favored with odds of 1.67. Expect active wing play, as both teams regularly take corners, and a bet on over 10.5 corners seems logical for this match.