Prediction for match Burnley — Brentford

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Premier League on February 28, Burnley will face Brentford. Brentford is favored with odds of 1.79, reflecting a 55.02% chance of winning. Burnley's victory is given odds of 4.78 (20.60%), while a draw is at 4.04 (24.38%). Brentford is the preferred choice according to the odds, and bookmakers give them a significant advantage. The probability gap between the teams is quite large, which is reflected in the odds offered.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley averages 48.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Brentford is similar in these metrics: 48% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Burnley's last three matches were: 21.02.2026 Chelsea 1-1 Burnley, 14.02.2026 Burnley 1-2 Mansfield Town, 11.02.2026 Crystal Palace 2-3 Burnley. Brentford's recent matches were: 21.02.2026 Brentford 0-2 Brighton, 16.02.2026 Macclesfield Town 0-1 Brentford, 12.02.2026 Brentford 1-1 Arsenal. In their last head-to-head on 29.11.2025, Brentford defeated Burnley 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Burnley has an average of 3 goals per match, while Brentford averages 2.2. Burnley scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 2, while Brentford scores 1.2 and concedes 1. Burnley has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Brentford has seen it only once. In the first half, Burnley had over 1.5 goals 3 times, and Brentford 2 times in their last five matches. In the second half, Burnley had over 1.5 goals only once, while Brentford had it twice. Burnley's most frequent scoring periods are 0-15, 16-30, and 31-45 minutes (29% each), while Brentford's are 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Both teams concede most often between 31-45 minutes: Burnley 38%, Brentford 50%. Overall, Burnley's stats lean towards the over, while Brentford's lean towards the under, but both teams are capable of scoring and conceding. The most logical choice seems to be betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.91, considering the average goal stats, over trends, and activity intervals of both teams.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five matches, Burnley averages 4.6 corners, while Brentford averages 5. Burnley has seen over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, and Brentford in all 5. Considering the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.68, and for under, it's 2.06. Brentford is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.60. The corner stats for both teams suggest a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the high average performance in this metric and frequent overs for both teams.