Prediction for match Burnley — Brighton

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On April 11, 2026, in the English Premier League, Burnley will face Brighton. According to the 1X2 odds, Brighton is the favorite with odds of 1.79, a draw is at 4.16, and a Burnley win is at 4.62. The probability of Brighton winning is 55.01%, a draw is estimated at 23.67%, and Burnley's chance of success is 21.31%. This setup reflects analysts' confidence in Brighton's advantage, considering their current form and statistical indicators. The market also offers options for totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, but Brighton's win stands out as the main prediction based on odds and numerical support.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley had an average possession of 40.2%, recording 1.6 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Brighton showed 52% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Burnley's last three matches were: March 21, 2026, Fulham 3-1 Burnley, March 14, 2026, Burnley 0-0 Bournemouth, March 3, 2026, Everton 2-0 Burnley. Brighton's were: March 21, 2026, Brighton 2-1 Liverpool, March 14, 2026, Sunderland 0-1 Brighton, March 4, 2026, Brighton 0-1 Arsenal. The last head-to-head meeting was on January 3, 2026: Brighton 2-0 Burnley. These data show that Brighton is stable, while Burnley is struggling in defense and attack.

How Many Goals Will be Scored in Burnley vs. Brighton

In the last five matches, Burnley had an average total of 3 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 2. Brighton's average total was 2, scoring 1.4 and conceding only 0.6. Both teams have 2 out of 5 matches over 2.5 total goals, and 3 out of 5 under. In the first half, Burnley had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals, while Brighton had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Burnley had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Brighton had none. Burnley most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), and Brighton in the first 15 minutes (75%). Burnley concedes most in the 76th-90th minute interval (33%), and Brighton in the first 30 minutes (33% in two intervals). Considering Brighton's low concession rate and stable attack, along with Burnley's issues in execution, betting on a Brighton win seems justified. Brighton shows a more reliable defense and can capitalize on their chances, especially early in the match.

Corner Bets

Burnley averages 4.6 corners per match, Brighton 3.8. In the last 5 games, Burnley had 4 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners, Brighton had 3 out of 5. The line for total corners is over 9.5 at 1.72, under 9.5 at 2.01. For corners outcome, Brighton is the favorite with odds of 1.60. Based on the average corner productivity and frequency of total overpasses, it makes sense to consider an option on total over 9.5. Both teams are expected to create chances at the opponent's goal, which will lead to a sufficient number of corners in the match.