Prediction for match Burnley — Chelsea, 22.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Premier League offers a clash between Burnley and Chelsea on November 22, 2025. Chelsea is favored to win with odds of 1.53, reflecting a probability of 64.25%. A draw is priced at 4.57 (21.51%), while a Burnley victory is at 6.90 (14.25%). These figures indicate a clear advantage for Chelsea according to the odds and probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley averages 44.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Chelsea controls 61.4% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and registers 1.2 offsides per match. Burnley's last three games: 08.11.2025 - West Ham 3-2 Burnley, 01.11.2025 - Burnley 0-2 Arsenal, 26.10.2025 - Wolverhampton 2-3 Burnley. Chelsea's recent form: 08.11.2025 - Chelsea 3-0 Wolverhampton, 05.11.2025 - Qarabag 2-2 Chelsea, 01.11.2025 - Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea. In their last head-to-head on 30.03.2024, Chelsea and Burnley drew 2-2, with over 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley saw over 2.5 goals 3 times, while Chelsea hit this mark 4 out of 5 times. In the first halves, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 out of 5 for both teams, and in the second halves, 2 out of 5. Average goals per game: Burnley - 3.4, Chelsea - 3.6. Burnley most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (33%) and concedes late, between the 76th and 90th minute (38%). Chelsea's peak scoring period is between the 61st and 75th minute (33%), with goals conceded more evenly distributed: 22% in the intervals 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90. The combined scoring potential and frequent over 2.5 goals suggest betting on over 2.5 goals is a logical choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Burnley averages 2.6 corners per match, while Chelsea averages 6.6. In the last five matches, Burnley had over 9.5 corners twice, and Chelsea four times. Odds for corner totals are: over 9 - 1.71, under 9 - 2.06. Chelsea is favored for corners with odds of 1.40. Given Chelsea's high activity in deliveries, betting on Chelsea's individual total corners over 5.5 (odds 1.80) appears justified.