Prediction for match Burnley — Crystal Palace, 03.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages

The English Premier League is set for a clash between Burnley and Crystal Palace on December 3, 2025. The odds for the outcome are as follows: a Crystal Palace victory is priced at 1.78, a draw at 3.94, and a Burnley win at 5.02. The probabilities are distributed as 19.63% for a Burnley win, 25.01% for a draw, and 55.36% for Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace stands out as the favorite according to all major probability indicators and odds, confirming the bookmakers' confidence in their success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley averaged 47.6% ball possession, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 10 fouls, and had 0.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Crystal Palace averaged 42.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per match. Burnley's last three matches: 29.11.2025 Brentford - Burnley 3-1, 22.11.2025 Burnley - Chelsea 0-2, 08.11.2025 West Ham - Burnley 3-2. Crystal Palace's last three fixtures: 30.11.2025 Crystal Palace - Manchester United 1-2, 27.11.2025 Strasbourg - Crystal Palace 2-1, 22.11.2025 Wolverhampton - Crystal Palace 0-2. In their last head-to-head on 24.02.2024, Crystal Palace defeated Burnley 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Burnley has been involved in high-scoring games recently, averaging 3.6 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4 per game. Crystal Palace's matches have been less prolific, averaging 2.4 goals, with 1.4 scored and 1 conceded. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring encounters. In the first half, Burnley had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Crystal Palace did so in 1 out of 5; in the second half, Burnley had 2 out of 5, and Crystal Palace 4 out of 5. Burnley most frequently scores and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (63% and 40% respectively), while Crystal Palace is most productive between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 46th-60th minutes (29% each), and concedes most often between the 61st-75th minutes (50%). All this suggests a high likelihood of the match going over 2.5 goals, which is priced at 2.03.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Burnley averages 3 corners per game, while Crystal Palace averages 3.8. In the last five matches, Burnley had over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Crystal Palace once. The line closest to the average total is 9.5 corners, with over 9.5 at odds of 1.83 and under 9.5 at 1.87. Crystal Palace is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.65. Based on frequencies and averages, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially considering Burnley's frequent over 9.5 totals in recent matches.