Prediction for match Burnley — Everton

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Premier League match between Burnley and Everton will take place on December 27, 2025. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Everton's victory is priced at 2.06, a draw is at 3.48, and Burnley's win is at 4.12. In terms of probability percentages, Everton has a 47.80% chance, a draw is at 28.30%, and Burnley is at 23.90%. Everton stands out as the favorite according to the odds, but the difference with a draw is not that large, which could add intrigue to the points distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

Burnley, over their last five matches, has an average ball possession of 45%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 9.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Everton, in these parameters, averages 42.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Burnley played as follows: 20.12.2025 - Bournemouth vs Burnley - 1-1, 13.12.2025 - Burnley vs Fulham - 2-3, 06.12.2025 - Newcastle vs Burnley - 2-1. Everton in the same period: 20.12.2025 - Everton vs Arsenal - 0-1, 13.12.2025 - Chelsea vs Everton - 2-0, 06.12.2025 - Everton vs Nottingham Forest - 3-0. The last head-to-head match was on April 6, 2024: Everton vs Burnley - 1-0.

Statistics on Totals

In terms of scoring over their last five matches, Burnley has an average total of 3 goals, while Everton averages 2.4. Burnley scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 2, while Everton also scores 1 but concedes 1.4. Burnley has surpassed the total over 2.5 goals 3 times out of 5, and Everton 2 out of 5. In the first half, Burnley went over 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5, and Everton 3 out of 5. In the second half, Burnley went over 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5, and Everton 1 out of 5. Burnley most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Everton scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Burnley is most vulnerable at the end of the match (76-90, 43%), and Everton between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Considering the average scoring of both teams, Burnley's frequency of surpassing over 2.5 goals, and the tendency for late goals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.27.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Burnley averages 6.2 corners per match, while Everton averages 5.8, totaling 12 corners. Over a five-match span, Burnley surpassed the over 9.5 corners total 3 times, and Everton 2 times. For the 9.5 corners total, there are both options: over 9.5 - 1.84, under 9.5 - 1.90. In terms of corner outcomes, Everton is the favorite with odds of 1.78. Given the high averages for corners and Burnley's frequency of surpassing over 9.5, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.