Prediction for match Burnley — Newcastle, 30.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Premier League on December 30, 2025, Burnley will face Newcastle. According to the 1X2 odds, Newcastle is the favorite with odds of 1.69, corresponding to a 58.32% probability of winning. A draw is priced at 4.22 with a 23.36% chance, while a Burnley win is at 5.38, representing an 18.32% probability. Newcastle is significantly favored in the odds, indicating a strong advantage over Burnley, who are seen as the underdogs.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Burnley has averaged 46.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Newcastle has shown 55.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Burnley's last three matches: December 27 - Burnley vs Everton 0-0, December 20 - Bournemouth vs Burnley 1-1, December 13 - Burnley vs Fulham 2-3. For Newcastle: December 26 - Manchester United vs Newcastle 1-0, December 20 - Newcastle vs Chelsea 2-2, December 17 - Newcastle vs Fulham 2-1. In the last head-to-head match on December 6, 2025, Newcastle defeated Burnley 2-1.

Goal Scoring Trends

Over the last five matches, Burnley has averaged 2.2 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. Newcastle averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Burnley has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 games, while Newcastle has in 3 of 5. Both teams have seen over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and over 1.5 in the second half twice as well. Burnley most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%), and concedes in the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Newcastle is most effective in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes most between the 46th and 75th minutes (40% in each of the two intervals). The combined goal statistics suggest a moderately high-scoring game, with a good chance of seeing at least three goals, supported by Newcastle's recent over 2.5 goals record. The optimal bet here seems to be over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.86.

Corners Betting

Burnley averages 6.4 corners per match, while Newcastle averages 6.8. In their last five matches, Burnley has seen over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Newcastle 4 out of 5. The closest total to their average is 13.0, but the available line is 9.5 (Over 9.5 - 1.66, Under 9.5 - 2.14). Newcastle to win on corners is at 1.44. Both teams regularly achieve over six corners, indicating high flank activity and frequent attacks. Considering the trends, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical.