Prediction for match Cadiz — Castellón

Match Analysis: Cadiz vs Castellón

In the Spanish Segunda Division on December 21, 2025, Cadiz will face Castellón. According to the 1X2 odds, Cadiz is at 3.31, a draw is also priced at 3.31, while Castellón is the favorite with odds of 2.28. The win probabilities are distributed as follows: Cadiz - 28.97%, draw - 28.97%, Castellón - 42.06%. This indicates a slight edge for Castellón according to bookmakers, but Cadiz is not without a chance. The relatively high percentage for a draw suggests a potentially tight contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cadiz has averaged 38.8% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. Castellón, over the same period, has shown 54.4% possession, 3.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Cadiz's last three matches: December 13, 2025, Real Zaragoza - Cadiz 1-2, December 7, 2025, Cadiz - Racing Santander 2-3, November 30, 2025, Cordoba - Cadiz 1-2. Castellón's recent results: December 15, 2025, Castellón - Mirandes 3-1, December 7, 2025, Deportivo La Coruña - Castellón 1-3, November 30, 2025, Castellón - Las Palmas 1-0. In their head-to-head on February 23, 2025, Cadiz and Castellón drew 0-0.

Goalscoring Trends

Both teams have impressive scoring records over the last 5 matches: Cadiz averages a total of 3.4 goals per match, Castellón 4.4. Cadiz scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 2, while Castellón scores 3 and concedes 1.4. Cadiz has seen over 2.5 goals in all 5 matches, Castellón in 4 out of 5. In terms of halves, Cadiz has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first halves and 4 out of 5 second halves, and Castellón the same: 2 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Cadiz frequently scores early (0-15 minutes, 33%), while Castellón often scores late (76-90 minutes, 36%). Cadiz tends to concede early in the second half (46-60, 30%), while Castellón concedes late (76-90, 36%). Both teams clearly have an over-profile, supported by high averages in goals scored and conceded. In this context, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Cadiz averages 5.8 corners per match, Castellón 7. Cadiz has seen over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, Castellón in 2 out of 5. Among the available lines for corners, the total closest to the average sum (12.8) is 11.5: over 11.5 is at 3.70, under 11.5 at 1.20. There's also a line at 9.5: over 9.5 at 2.03, under 9.5 at 1.68. Castellón is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.69. Given the high corner averages for both teams and frequent overs, it's logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners or Castellón to win the corner count.