Prediction for match Cadiz — Sporting Gijon, 09.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda Division on January 9th, Cadiz will face Sporting Gijon. The odds for a Cadiz win are 2.55, for a Sporting Gijon victory - 3.03, and a draw is priced at 3.12. Probability percentages are as follows: Cadiz - 37.61%, draw - 30.74%, Sporting Gijon - 31.65%. The line for total goals: Over 2.5 is at 2.38, Under 2.5 is at 1.61. Both teams to score: Yes is at 1.93, No is at 1.78. The double chance X2 is at 1.53. For individual totals: Cadiz Over 1 - 1.70, Sporting Gijon Over 1 - 2.00. For the first half total over 0.5, the odds are 1.50, and for the second half total over 1.5 - 2.44.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Cadiz played as follows: January 4th - Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Cadiz, December 21st - Cadiz 2-0 Castellon, December 13th - Real Zaragoza 1-2 Cadiz. Sporting Gijon's last three matches were: January 4th - Sporting Gijon 1-3 Malaga, December 20th - Leganes 0-1 Sporting Gijon, December 16th - Sporting Gijon 0-2 Valencia. In their last head-to-head on April 25th, 2025, Cadiz defeated Sporting Gijon 1-0. Over the last five matches, Cadiz averages 34.4% possession, receives 4.4 yellow cards, commits 18.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Sporting Gijon averages 44.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.8 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Cadiz shows scoring ability: an average total of 3.4 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.4. Sporting Gijon's numbers are more modest: 1.8 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. Cadiz has over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Sporting Gijon has only 1 out of 5. In terms of halves, Cadiz has over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 first halves and 4 out of 5 second halves, while Sporting Gijon has never had over 1.5 in the first half and only 1 out of 5 in the second. Cadiz scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (38%), while Sporting Gijon scores at the end of the match (76-90 minutes, 100%). Cadiz concedes most in the 46-60 and 76-90-minute intervals (30% each), Sporting Gijon in the 46-60 interval (43%). Considering Cadiz's high scoring rate, consistent over 2.5 goals, and Sporting Gijon's weak defense, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.69 seems reasonable. Cadiz has scored at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Sporting Gijon has only scored more than one once in the same period. The distribution of goals by halves supports a high-scoring game: Cadiz is active in the second half, and Sporting Gijon often capitalizes on late opportunities. This sets the stage for a successful over 2.0 goals bet.

Analysis of Total Corners

On average, Cadiz earns 4.6 corners, while Sporting Gijon earns 6.2 per game. In a five-match series, both teams have had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches. The line for total corners offers: over 9.5 at odds of 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.78. Given the consistent activity of both teams on the wings, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. Cadiz often earns corners against teams with high possession, and Sporting Gijon shows strong numbers in this area even against tough opponents. In the last five matches, both teams only failed to reach the 10-corner mark once, as confirmed by their average stats. In this scenario, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match-up.