Prediction for match Cagliari — Cremonese

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on April 11, Cagliari will face Cremonese. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Cagliari win at 2.23, draw at 3.21, and Cremonese win at 3.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Cagliari - 44.12%, draw - 30.65%, Cremonese - 25.23%. Cagliari is given the lowest odds for a win, highlighting their status as the bookmakers' favorite. Meanwhile, the higher odds for a draw or Cremonese win indicate less confidence in these outcomes. Overall, the distribution of percentages and odds suggests a moderate advantage for Cagliari.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cagliari has the following averages: possession - 48.4%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 2.2. Cremonese averages: possession - 47.8%, yellow cards - 2.2, fouls - 17.6, offsides - 1.2. Cagliari's last three results: April 4, 2026, Sassuolo 2-1 Cagliari, March 20, 2026, Cagliari 0-1 Napoli, March 15, 2026, Pisa 3-1 Cagliari. Cremonese's last three matches: April 5, 2026, Cremonese 1-2 Bologna, March 21, 2026, Parma 0-2 Cremonese, March 16, 2026, Cremonese 1-4 Fiorentina. The last head-to-head was on January 8, 2026: Cremonese 2-2 Cagliari.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Cagliari has an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Cremonese averages 3. Cagliari scores an average of 0.8 goals per match and concedes 1.8. Cremonese averages 1 goal scored and 2 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: both teams have seen 3 out of 5 games end with three or more goals. In the first half, Cagliari hasn't seen over 1.5 goals in any of their last 5 matches, while Cremonese has seen it in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Cagliari has seen over 1.5 in 4 out of 5, Cremonese in 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Cagliari most often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (57%), while Cremonese spreads their scoring across four intervals - 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each). Cagliari most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (33%) and from 61 to 75 (33%), while Cremonese concedes most from 46 to 60 (27%). Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 goals in both teams' games, and second-half activity, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.43 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Cagliari averages 2.8 corners per game, Cremonese 3.4. In the last five games, Cagliari hasn't had any match with a total of over 9.5 corners, while Cremonese had 2 out of 5. The line for total corners offers: over 6.5 at 1.36, under 6.5 at 2.95, over 9.5 at 2.03, and under 9.5 at 1.92. The total closest to the average figures is 6.5, but for a riskier bet, one might consider a total of 9.5. Cagliari is favored in corners with odds of 1.65. In this match, a low total corners count seems likely, considering the average figures of both teams and the frequency of totals under 9.5.