Prediction for match Cagliari — Genoa, 22.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on November 22, Cagliari will face Genoa. The odds for a Cagliari win are 2.90, while Genoa's victory is priced at 2.91, and a draw is at 3.07. The probability distribution is as follows: 34.00% chance for Cagliari to win, 33.88% for Genoa, and a 32.12% chance for a draw. There is no clear favorite according to the odds, as both teams are evenly matched in terms of bookmaker assessments and their chances of winning. Given the current odds and probability distribution, the outcome is not obvious, so it might be wise to consider total goals betting.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last five matches, Cagliari averages 45% while Genoa holds 48.6%. Both teams receive an average of 2.4 yellow cards per game, with fouls at 16 for Cagliari and 16.2 for Genoa. Offsides are 2.4 against 1.4. Cagliari's last three matches: November 8, 2025 - Como vs Cagliari 0-0, November 3, 2025 - Lazio vs Cagliari 2-0, October 30, 2025 - Cagliari vs Sassuolo 1-2. Genoa's recent games: November 9, 2025 - Genoa vs Fiorentina 2-2, November 3, 2025 - Sassuolo vs Genoa 1-2, October 29, 2025 - Genoa vs Cremonese 0-2. In their last head-to-head on March 7, 2025, Cagliari and Genoa drew 1-1, with under 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

In a five-match span, Cagliari averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Genoa averages 1 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. Total goals: 2.2 for Cagliari and 2.4 for Genoa. Over the last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred twice for Cagliari and three times for Genoa. In the first half, Cagliari never had over 1.5 goals, while Genoa did once in five. In the second half, both teams recorded over 1.5 goals three times out of five. The most frequent scoring interval for Cagliari is 61-75 minutes (40%), and for Genoa, it's 46-60 minutes (43%). Cagliari tends to concede more towards the end of matches (76-90, 50%), while Genoa has three intervals at 29% each. Both clubs lack consistent scoring, with Cagliari's attacking numbers particularly low. This, combined with the frequency of goal totals and timing, suggests betting on under 2.5 goals.

Corner Totals Analysis

Cagliari averages 2.4 corners per game, while Genoa averages 4.2. Over the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred three times for Cagliari and four times for Genoa. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.98, and under 9.5 is 1.74. Cagliari is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.84. Based on averages and occurrence frequencies, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, though there is a noticeable difference in wing activity between the teams.