Prediction for match Carrarese — Monza

Match Preview

On February 21, 2026, in Serie B, Carrarese will face Monza. According to the 1X2 odds, Monza is the favorite with odds of 2.02, reflecting a 46.39% probability. A draw is priced at 3.38 (27.72%), while a victory for Carrarese is at 3.62 (25.89%). This suggests Monza's advantage based on recent performances and current form. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.04, and under 2.5 goals are 1.75, indicating a moderate expectation of goals, with a slight inclination towards a high-scoring game. The "Both Teams to Score" options are at 1.83 (yes) and 1.87 (no), suggesting a moderate probability of both teams scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Carrarese has earned 4 points: a win against Empoli (3-0), a draw with Südtirol (0-0), and three losses to Modena (0-2), Padova (0-1), and Venezia (1-2). In the same period, Monza achieved four victories—against Juve Stabia (2-1), Avellino (2-1), Padova (2-1), and Pescara (3-0), and drew with Südtirol (0-0). Additional statistics show Carrarese with an average possession of 52.2%, 2.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Monza displays 55.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last encounter on December 20, 2025, Monza comfortably defeated Carrarese 4-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Carrarese has an average total of 1.8 goals per game, while Monza has 2.4. Carrarese scores 0.8 and concedes 1.0, while Monza scores 1.8 and concedes 0.6. Carrarese has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Monza in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Carrarese has not seen over 1.5 goals, while Monza has in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Carrarese has seen over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Monza in 3 out of 5. Carrarese tends to score most frequently between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (38% each), while Monza scores mostly at the end (76th-90th, 38%). Carrarese concedes primarily between the 46th and 60th minutes (100%), while Monza's concessions are evenly distributed across quarters, 25% in each interval. Given Monza's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goals in their matches, and Carrarese's less reliable defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.04 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Carrarese averages 5.6 corners per match, Monza 8. For the over 9.5 corners bet, Carrarese has 3 out of 5, Monza 4 out of 5. The total closest to their combined average (13.6) is the 9.5 line, with odds of over 9.5 at 1.86 and under 9.5 at 1.82. For corner outcomes, Monza is favored with odds of 1.72. Given both teams' average activity, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering the frequent occurrence of this line in recent matches.