Prediction for match Carrarese — Virtus Entella

Match Analysis: Carrarese vs Virtus Entella

Serie B in Italy brings us the clash between Carrarese and Virtus Entella on December 14, 2025. The odds for a Carrarese win are 2.59, for Virtus Entella 2.82, and a draw is priced at 3.02. The estimated probabilities are: Carrarese - 36.02%, draw - 30.89%, Virtus Entella - 33.08%. The balance of power between the teams is quite close, and the bookmakers do not highlight a clear favorite. This suggests a potentially tight contest with both sides approaching the game cautiously.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Carrarese has an average ball possession of 55.6%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. During the same period, Virtus Entella has 50.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three games, Carrarese lost to Sampdoria 2-3, was defeated by Palermo 0-5, and drew with Reggiana 0-0. Virtus Entella recently lost to Spezia 0-1, was beaten by Catanzaro 2-3, and shared points with Palermo 1-1. Their last head-to-head on July 28, 2024, ended in a 0-0 draw. These results indicate that both teams face challenges in converting chances and often struggle to keep clean sheets.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Carrarese has an average total of 2.8 goals per match, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.2 per game. Virtus Entella is more modest with an average of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Carrarese has seen 2 out of 5 matches, while Virtus Entella only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Carrarese had over 1.5 goals twice, and Entella once; in the second half, Carrarese also had 2 occurrences, while Entella had none. Carrarese most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%), and Virtus Entella between the 31st and 45th minute (40%). Carrarese concedes evenly across all intervals, with 20% in each of the five segments, while Entella concedes 25% in each of four intervals (0-15, 31-45, 46-60, 76-90). All this points to low scoring potential from both sides, especially Virtus Entella, which has a stronger under-profile. In this scenario, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems justified, considering the weak chance conversion and cautious play.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Carrarese averages 5 corners per match, while Virtus Entella averages 7.8, totaling 12.8. Over the last 5 games, Carrarese had over 9.5 corners twice, and Virtus Entella 5 times out of 5. Among the corner markets, the total closest to the average is 9.5, with two outcomes: over 9.5 at 1.79, under 9.5 also at 1.89. Based on corner outcomes, Carrarese is favored at 1.79. Given the statistics, Virtus Entella consistently exceeds high corner totals, and Carrarese maintains a decent level, making a bet on over 9.5 corners logical for this match.