Prediction for match Casa Pia — Porto, 02.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga on February 2nd, Casa Pia will face Porto. The odds for Porto to win are 1.29, a draw is at 5.75, and a victory for Casa Pia is priced at 12.50. In terms of probabilities: Porto has a 75.33% chance, a draw is at 16.90%, and Casa Pia has 7.77%. The odds and probabilities clearly favor Porto, reflecting the expectations of bookmakers and analysts.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Casa Pia played as follows: on 23.01.2026 Casa Pia - ABC 3-3, on 16.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia 3-0, on 04.01.2026 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 3-1. Porto's last three matches were: on 29.01.2026 Porto - Rangers 3-1, on 26.01.2026 Porto - Gil Vicente 3-0, on 22.01.2026 Viktoria Plzen - Porto 1-1. In a five-match series, Casa Pia has a ball possession rate of 45.6%, while Porto has 52.6%. Average yellow cards: Casa Pia - 2.6, Porto - 2.4. Fouls: Casa Pia commits 17.8, Porto - 14.2. Offsides: Casa Pia - 1.4, Porto - 1.8. In their last head-to-head on 24.08.2025, Porto defeated Casa Pia 4-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Casa Pia has an average total of 3.2 goals per match, while Porto has 2.2. Casa Pia scores 1.2 and concedes 2, Porto scores 1.8 and concedes only 0.4. For over 2.5 total goals: Casa Pia hit over in 4 out of 5, Porto in 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 total goals in the first half: Casa Pia only 1 out of 5, Porto 2 out of 5. In the second half, over 1.5 total goals occurred for Casa Pia 3 times out of 5, for Porto 1 out of 5. Casa Pia most often scores between the 46th-60th minute (30%), while Porto scores most frequently between the 31st-45th minute (38%). Casa Pia concedes most often in two intervals: 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each), Porto's most frequent conceded goals come in the 76th-90th minutes (40%). These stats indicate that Porto is consistently strong in defense, while Casa Pia concedes a lot, especially in the second half. Based on the statistics, a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.54 seems most logical: Porto has a very low goal-conceding rate, and Casa Pia isn't particularly prolific, especially against strong opponents.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For average corners over 5 matches, Casa Pia averages 3.6, Porto - 6. In a five-game series, the total corners over 9.5 occurred for Casa Pia 4 times, Porto 2 times. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5: total corners over 9.5 is at 1.97, under 9.5 is at 1.69. In terms of corner outcomes, Porto is the favorite with odds of 1.10. Overall, both teams are capable of delivering a sufficient number of corners, especially if Casa Pia is forced to defend more and play on the counter. Considering the frequency for Casa Pia and Porto's high activity on set pieces, it makes sense to consider the option of total corners over 9.5.