Prediction for match Casa Pia — Vitoria Guimaraes, 28.12.2025

Match Preview

In the Primeira Liga on December 28, Casa Pia will face Vitoria Guimaraes. The 1X2 odds suggest a Casa Pia win is priced at 3.37, a draw at 3.14, and a victory for Vitoria Guimaraes at 2.40. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Casa Pia 28.76%, draw 30.86%, Vitoria Guimaraes 40.38%. These figures indicate Vitoria Guimaraes as the most likely winner, but a draw is also considered quite probable by the bookmakers. Overall, expectations for the match are quite balanced, with no clear favorite emerging.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Casa Pia's last three games, they defeated Tondela 2-1 (21.12.2025), drew 1-1 with Gil Vicente (13.12.2025), and lost to Santa Clara 0-1 (06.12.2025). Vitoria Guimaraes in December lost to Sporting Lisbon 1-4 (23.12.2025), were defeated by ABC 0-1 (17.12.2025), and beat Rio Ave 1-0 (13.12.2025). In a five-match series, Casa Pia averages 45.6% possession, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Vitoria Guimaraes, on the other hand, averages 50.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. The last meeting between these teams was on March 1, 2025, with Vitoria Guimaraes winning 1-0.

How Many Goals in the Match Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes

In Casa Pia's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, while the under was recorded three times. For Vitoria Guimaraes, the over 2.5 goals also happened twice, with the under occurring three times. The average number of goals in Casa Pia's matches is 2.4, and for Vitoria Guimaraes, it's 2.2. Casa Pia scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.4, while Vitoria Guimaraes scores 1.2 and concedes 1. By halves, Casa Pia had no matches in the first half with over 1.5 goals, but in the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred three out of five times. For Vitoria Guimaraes, two out of five matches were over 1.5 goals in the first half, and only once in the second half. Regarding scoring intervals, Casa Pia most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (60%), and Vitoria Guimaraes in the same interval (33%). Casa Pia most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%), while Vitoria Guimaraes concedes between 31-45 minutes (67%). Considering the moderate scoring of both teams, the frequency of over 2.5 goals (twice out of five), and average goal statistics, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems logical. This line appears well-founded based on the current dynamics.

Corners in the Match

Casa Pia earns an average of 4 corners per game, while Vitoria Guimaraes averages 6.4. In the last five matches, Casa Pia had a total over 9.5 corners three times, and Vitoria Guimaraes four times out of five. Looking at the odds for total corners, both options are presented for the 9.5 line: over 9.5 is priced at 1.90, under 9.5 at 1.78. Vitoria Guimaraes is favored for the corners outcome with odds of 1.65. Considering both teams average 10.4 corners per match, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Vitoria Guimaraes consistently delivers more set-pieces, and Casa Pia is also active, supporting the idea of a high number of corners.