Prediction for match Casa Pia — Moreirense

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Casa Pia and Moreirense will face off in the Primeira Liga on March 1. The odds for a Casa Pia win are 2.80, while Moreirense is at 2.92, and a draw is priced at 3.02. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 34.65% for a Casa Pia victory, 33.23% for Moreirense, and 32.13% for a draw. The odds and percentages suggest almost equal chances for both teams, which is reflected in their head-to-head history. In their last encounter, Moreirense won 2-1.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Casa Pia played as follows: 23.02.2026 - Famalicão vs Casa Pia - 2-0, 14.02.2026 - Casa Pia vs Arouca - 3-2, 08.02.2026 - Nacional vs Casa Pia - 0-0. Moreirense's results in the same period were: 21.02.2026 - Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon - 0-3, 16.02.2026 - Rio Ave vs Moreirense - 1-2, 07.02.2026 - Moreirense vs Gil Vicente - 1-2. On average over the last five matches, Casa Pia has 34.8% possession, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Moreirense, in these metrics, has 45% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their head-to-head on 27.09.2025, Moreirense defeated Casa Pia 2-1.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Casa Pia averages a total of 3.2 goals per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6. Moreirense averages 2.2 total goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. Both teams have the same record for over 2.5 goals: 3 out of 5 matches ended with three or more goals. In the first half, Casa Pia had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Moreirense had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Casa Pia had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, and Moreirense had 2 out of 5. Casa Pia most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (30%), while Moreirense scores most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%). Casa Pia concedes most frequently in the final minutes (76-90, 33%), and Moreirense right after the break (46-60, 43%). Considering both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Casa Pia's average goals per match is notably higher, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.82 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Casa Pia averages 2.4 corners per match, while Moreirense averages 3. For over 9.5 corners, Casa Pia has 4 out of 5 matches, and Moreirense has 2 out of 5. The closest odds to the average total are for over 8.5 corners: over 8.5 corners is at 1.67, under 8.5 is at 2.05. Casa Pia is the favorite for corners with odds of 2.01. Considering both teams' average corner activity and Casa Pia's frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 8.5 corners seems logical for this match.