Prediction for match Ceara — Cruzeiro, 30.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Brazilian Serie A, Ceara faces Cruzeiro. The match is scheduled for November 30, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, Cruzeiro is the favorite with odds of 2.24 for their win. A draw is priced at 3.34, while a victory for Ceara is at 3.37. Looking at the probability distribution, Cruzeiro has a 42.82% chance of winning, a draw stands at 28.72%, and Ceara at 28.46%. The odds indicate a slight edge for Cruzeiro, but a draw is also a possibility given the nearly equal chances for the opponents aside from the favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Ceara averaged 41.6% possession, earned 5.6 corners, 3.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Cruzeiro had 49.6% possession, 6.8 corners, 3.4 cautions, 15.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides on average. Ceara's last three results were: November 24, Mirassol - Ceara 3-0, November 21, Ceara - Internacional 1-2, November 9, Corinthians - Ceara 0-1. Cruzeiro's were: November 23, Cruzeiro - Corinthians 3-0, November 20, Juventude - Cruzeiro 3-3, November 9, Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0-0. In their head-to-head on July 27, 2025, Cruzeiro lost to Ceara 1-2, with the total over 2.5 goals. These stats show that both teams can score and concede, but Cruzeiro seems slightly more reliable defensively.

Goals Statistics

Over the last five matches, Ceara played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Cruzeiro went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. In the first half, only one of Ceara's five matches had two or more goals, while Cruzeiro had two out of five. In the second halves, Ceara had over 1.5 goals once, and Cruzeiro twice. The average number of goals per match is 2.2 for Ceara and 2.8 for Cruzeiro. Ceara scored 1 goal and conceded 1.2 per game, while Cruzeiro scored 2 and conceded 0.8. Ceara most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%), while Cruzeiro scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%). Ceara's conceded goals are evenly split between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (50% each), while 60% of Cruzeiro's conceded goals occur between the 31st-45th minutes. Considering the scoring and conceding stats, as well as the over 2.5 goals occurring in 5 out of 10 combined matches, it's reasonable to expect the match won't be goalless. However, Ceara's low scoring rate and Cruzeiro's consistent scoring and strong defense suggest a bet on Both Teams to Score: No at 1.80.

How Many Corners?

On average, Ceara earns 5.6 corners per game, and Cruzeiro 6.8. In their last five matches, Ceara exceeded the 9.5 corners total twice, while Cruzeiro did so three times. Therefore, both teams regularly win corners, with their combined average being 12.4 per match. The closest corner total to this average is 12, but the nearest available totals with odds are 9.5: over 9.5 corners at 1.72, under 9.5 at 2.05. Cruzeiro is favored to win the corner count with odds of 2.05. Considering both teams' activity in this aspect and frequent high corner totals, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners.