Prediction for match Ceara — Primavera SP

Match Preview

In the Copa do Brasil on February 26, 2026, Ceara will face off against Primavera SP. According to the odds, Ceara is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.69, a draw at 3.50, and a win for Primavera SP at 5.16. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Ceara - 55.24%, draw - 26.67%, Primavera SP - 18.09%. This setup confirms that bookmakers favor Ceara, although a draw is not out of the question. Primavera SP is considered the underdog, but surprises are always possible in cup matches.

Team's Recent Matches Overview

Looking at the last three matches for each team, Ceara played: on 07.12.2025 Ceara - Palmeiras 1-3, on 04.12.2025 Flamengo - Ceara 1-0, on 30.11.2025 Ceara - Cruzeiro 1-1. Primavera SP's results were: on 15.02.2026 Primavera SP - Noroeste 3-3, on 07.02.2026 Sao Paulo - Primavera SP 2-1, on 31.01.2026 Primavera SP - Portuguesa 1-2. In terms of additional statistics over a five-match series, Ceara has a ball possession of 38%, an average of 2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Primavera SP has 45% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These figures show that Ceara plays more aggressively and commits more fouls, while Primavera SP plays more carefully and controls the ball more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding scoring, Ceara has an average of 2.6 goals per match over the last five games, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2. Primavera SP has a higher average total of 3.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals, Ceara has 3 out of 5, and Primavera SP has 4 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams have 2 out of 5, while in the second half, both have 3 out of 5 for over 1.5. Ceara most often scores in the intervals 0-15 minutes (29%) and 76-90 minutes (29%), while Primavera SP scores in the 61-75 minute interval (50%). For goals conceded, Ceara's most problematic intervals are 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while for Primavera SP, it's 76-90 minutes (38%). These data suggest that both teams tend to be more active in the second half, with Primavera SP scoring more often than Ceara. However, Ceara has notably low attacking productivity, with just 0.6 goals per game, while conceding an average of 2. Primavera SP scores more but also concedes a fair amount. Given Ceara's low scoring rate and Primavera SP's not-so-reliable defense, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.69 seems justified. Supporting this choice is the fact that Ceara didn't score in two of their last three matches, while Primavera SP conceded in all five, but didn't always score themselves.

Corner Total Analysis

On corners, Ceara averages 6 per game, while Primavera SP averages 2.4. Over the last 5 matches, Ceara's total over 9.5 corners hit 3 times, and Primavera SP only once. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (8.4) is 9.5. The odds for this total are: over 9.5 corners at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.73. Ceara consistently delivers more, while Primavera SP rarely reaches even 3-4 corners per game. Victory on corners often goes to Ceara, given the difference in average figures. It's logical to consider a bet on under 9.5 corners, as Primavera SP doesn't add much activity in this component, and Ceara doesn't always exceed 6-7 deliveries.