Prediction for match Celta — Alaves

Match Analysis: Celta vs Alaves

On March 22, Celta and Alaves face off in La Liga. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Celta's victory is priced at 1.91, a draw at 3.46, and Alaves' win at 4.93. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 51.56% chance of Celta winning, 28.46% for a draw, and 19.98% for an Alaves victory. Celta is favored by the bookmakers, but a draw is also a possibility given the percentages. The most intriguing bet seems to be the over 2.0 goals total at odds of 1.67.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Celta had the following results: March 19, 2026, Lyon 0-2 Celta, March 15, 2026, Real Betis 1-1 Celta, March 12, 2026, Celta 1-1 Lyon. During the same period, Alaves played these matches: March 13, 2026, Alaves 1-1 Villarreal, March 8, 2026, Valencia 3-2 Alaves, February 27, 2026, Levante 2-0 Alaves. On average, in the last five games, Celta has had 44.4% possession, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 11.8 fouls, and been caught offside 2.4 times per match. Alaves has higher possession at 51.6%, 3.6 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their head-to-head meetings, the last match was on November 22, 2025: Alaves 0-1 Celta.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams had two games over 2.5 goals and three under. Celta's average goals scored and conceded per game is 2.4, while Alaves' is 3. Celta scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1, whereas Alaves scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. In the first half, the over 1.5 goals occurred only once for each team, while in the second half, Celta had it twice and Alaves three times. Celta has most frequently scored between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%), while Alaves scores often in the final minutes, from the 76th to the 90th minute (56%). Celta is most vulnerable to conceding from the 76th to the 90th minute (38%), and Alaves from the 61st to the 75th minute (33%). Considering both teams' average scoring, frequent overs, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.0 goals looks logical. The odds for this event are 1.67.

Corners in the Match

In the last five matches, Celta has averaged 3.4 corners, and Alaves 4.6. The over 9.5 corners total occurred once in five for Celta, and three out of five for Alaves. If we consider the corners total, the line closest to the average values is 8.5: odds for over 8.5 are 1.61, and for under 2.17. Celta is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.58. In this match, considering both teams' average figures and Alaves' frequency, betting on over 8.5 corners is worth considering.