Prediction for match Celta — Athletic Club

Odds and Probability Percentages

In La Liga on December 14, Celta will face Athletic Club. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Celta is priced at 2.72, a draw at 3.30, and a win for Athletic Club at 2.90. In terms of probabilities: Celta - 36.20%, draw - 29.84%, Athletic Club - 33.96%. Considering the odds and probabilities, a closely contested match is expected, with Celta having a slight edge according to the bookmakers. Interestingly, the difference in probabilities between the teams does not exceed 2.5%, indicating a highly competitive matchup.

Recent Matches Overview

In their last three matches, Celta lost to Bologna 1-2 on December 11, defeated Real Madrid 2-0 on December 7, and won against Sant Andreu in a high-scoring game 8-7 on December 4. During the same period, Athletic Club drew with PSG 0-0 on December 10, beat Atletico Madrid 1-0 on December 6, and lost to Real Madrid 0-3 on December 3. Their last head-to-head encounter was on January 19, 2025, where Athletic Club won 2-1. Additional stats over five matches show Celta with an average possession of 53.2%, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Athletic Club averaged 40.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 1 offside. These figures reflect Athletic Club's more aggressive style and Celta's tendency to control the ball.

Goal Scoring Trends

In their last five matches, Celta averaged 2.6 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Athletic Club's numbers are noticeably lower: an average total of 1.2, scoring 0.6, and conceding 0.6. In the last five games, Celta's matches went over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Athletic Club had only one match over 2.5 goals and four under. In the first half, Celta never had more than 1.5 goals, while Athletic Club saw this twice. In the second half, Celta's matches went over 1.5 goals three times, while Athletic Club never did. Celta scores most frequently in four different intervals - 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (25% each), while Athletic Club only scores in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 100%). Celta concedes most often in the final stages (61-75 and 76-90 minutes - 43% each), and Athletic Club in the early stages (0-15 minutes - 40%) and at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 40%). These stats indicate Athletic Club's low attacking potential in recent matches and Celta's moderate scoring ability. Given these numbers, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems logical: both teams tend to have low-scoring matches, and Athletic Club's average total is just 1.2 per game.

Corners: Stats and Potential Bets

Both teams average 4.2 corners per match over their last five games. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is once in five for Celta and three times for Athletic Club. According to the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, there are options: over 9.5 at 2.08, under 9.5 at 1.70. Celta is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.92. Overall, considering the averages, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, but Athletic Club more frequently records higher values. Also, considering a bet on Celta to win the corners could be an additional option.