Prediction for match Celta — Espanyol, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Celta vs Espanyol

Celta and Espanyol face off in La Liga on November 30, 2025. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Celta's victory is offered at 2.04, a draw is priced at 3.55, and Espanyol's win is at 4.11. The probabilities for this match are: Celta - 48.29%, draw - 27.75%, Espanyol - 23.97%. Based on the odds and percentages, Celta is the favorite in this matchup, while a draw is the intermediate outcome. Celta's advantage in probabilities is quite noticeable, but the draw also holds a significant share.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the last five matches, Celta averages 49.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Espanyol, over the same period, averages 41% possession, 2.2 yellows, 14.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Celta played as follows: November 27 - Ludogorets vs Celta 3-2, November 22 - Alaves vs Celta 0-1, November 9 - Celta vs Barcelona 2-4. Espanyol's last three matches were: November 24 - Espanyol vs Sevilla 2-1, November 8 - Espanyol vs Villarreal 0-2, November 2 - Alaves vs Espanyol 2-1. In the head-to-head on April 12, 2025, Celta lost to Espanyol 0-2, with the total goals in that match being under 2.5.

Goals by Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Celta shows a high scoring rate: 4 out of 5 matches exceeded a total of 2.5 goals, with only one being a low-scoring game. Espanyol's situation is different: only 2 out of 5 games ended with three or more goals, with three matches having a total under 2.5. Celta averages 3.6 goals per match, while Espanyol averages 2.2. In the first half, Celta had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 cases, and in the second half - 2 out of 5. For Espanyol, the first half over 1.5 happened only once, and the second half twice. Celta's most frequent goal intervals are 0-15 (29%), 31-45 (29%), and 61-75 (29%). Espanyol's most productive period is the 46-60 minute (40%). In terms of goals conceded: Celta most often concedes in the 31-45 interval (33%), Espanyol in the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). This timing spread and Celta's high scoring make the bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 the most justified for this match.

Corners in the Match

In terms of average corners over the last 5 games, Celta averages 3.4, Espanyol 4.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Celta is 0 out of 5, for Espanyol - 1 out of 5. Looking at the odds for total corners, the closest to the average sum (8) is a total of 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.68, under 8.5 is at 2.11. Celta is favored in corners with a coefficient of 1.45. Based on the recent games' statistics, a match with a moderate number of corners and Celta's advantage in this aspect can be expected. A logical bet would be on total corners over 8.5, considering both teams' dynamics in this component.