Prediction for match Celta — Lyon

Match Analysis: Celta vs Lyon

In the Europa League on 12.03.2026, Celta faces Lyon. The 1X2 odds are set at 2.18 for a Celta win, 3.64 for a draw, and 3.54 for a Lyon victory. The implied probabilities are as follows: Celta - 45.15%, draw - 27.04%, Lyon - 27.81%. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a Celta win, but the difference between the teams is not overwhelming. The markets for totals and both teams to score also offer interesting odds, but the main focus is on the over 2.5 goals line, with odds of 1.93.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Celta played as follows: 06.03.2026 - Celta vs Real Madrid - 1-2, 01.03.2026 - Girona vs Celta - 1-2, 26.02.2026 - Celta vs PAOK - 1-0. Lyon's last three matches were: 08.03.2026 - Lyon vs Paris FC - 1-1, 05.03.2026 - Lyon vs Lens - 6-7, 01.03.2026 - Marseille vs Lyon - 3-2. In their head-to-head match on 29.07.2023, Celta defeated Lyon 1-0. Over the last five matches, Celta's possession was 47.2%, with an average of 1.4 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Lyon had 55.2% possession, with 2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These statistics indicate that both teams are competitive and active.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Celta vs Lyon

In their last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals three times. Celta had 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, and Lyon similarly had 3 out of 5. Both teams have an average of 1.6 goals scored per game, with Celta conceding 0.8 and Lyon 1.8. The overall average total goals in Celta's matches is 2.4, while for Lyon it's 3.4. By halves, Celta had over 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves, while Lyon had it once in the first half and four times in the second. This suggests that Lyon is more involved in scoring during the second half. Goal intervals show that Celta scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (50%), and Lyon also in the 76-90 interval (45%). For goals conceded, Celta most often concedes between 31-45 minutes (33%), while Lyon's distribution is even across all intervals at 17%. This creates a profile for a match leaning towards high-scoring, especially in the second half. The most logical bet appears to be over 2.5 goals at 1.93.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last five matches, Celta averages 4.6 corners, and Lyon averages 5. In terms of frequency for over 9.5 corners: Celta had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Lyon had 3 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to their average sum (9.6) is 9.5, with two outcomes: over 9.5 corners at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.71. The favorite for corners is Celta, with odds of 1.85. Considering both teams average around 10 corners combined, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given Lyon's attacking profile and Celta's recent activity.