Prediction for match Celta — PAOK

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

The Europa League continues to thrill with intriguing matchups, and the clash between Celta and PAOK promises to be intense. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Celta win at 1.74, which corresponds to a 56.61% probability. A draw is priced at 3.90 with a 25.26% chance, while a PAOK victory is rated at 5.43 and 18.14% respectively. This setup reflects the advantage of the Spanish team, but the Greek side is not without hope—the percentage difference is not so vast as to rule out a contest. Additionally, the odds for under 2.5 goals are at 1.91, making this option appealing for a bet.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Celta recorded the following results: 22.02.2026 - Celta vs Mallorca - 2-0, 19.02.2026 - PAOK vs Celta - 1-2, 14.02.2026 - Espanyol vs Celta - 2-2. In the same period, PAOK played as follows: 22.02.2026 - Larisa vs PAOK - 1-1, 19.02.2026 - PAOK vs Celta - 1-2, 15.02.2026 - PAOK vs AEK Athens - 0-0. On average over the last five matches, Celta controlled possession 55.2% of the time, committed 11.2 fouls, was caught offside 2 times, and received 1.4 yellow cards. PAOK slightly outperformed in these metrics: possession 58.8%, fouls 10.2, offsides 2.2, yellow cards 1.6. In head-to-head encounters, Celta holds the advantage: the last game on 19.02.2026 ended in a 2-1 victory for the Spaniards, and earlier on 02.10.2025, Celta won 3-1.

How Many Goals in Celta vs PAOK Match

In their five-match series, Celta's average total goals per match is 2.4, while PAOK's is exactly 2. The Spaniards score 1.4 goals per game on average, while the Greeks score 1.2, conceding 1 and 0.8 respectively. For over 2.5 goals, Celta has 3 out of 5, PAOK has 2 out of 5, indicating moderate scoring. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Celta, twice for PAOK, while in the second half, Celta played 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and PAOK all 5 matches under 1.5. For goal intervals: Celta most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (67%), and PAOK in the first 15 minutes (43%). For conceded goals, Celta's most vulnerable period is 31-45 minutes (67%), PAOK's is 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (50% each). Altogether, this data suggests the match is unlikely to be high-scoring: both teams are not prone to constant goal fireworks, and PAOK has not exceeded over 1.5 goals in the second half in 5 games. Therefore, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems the most logical, especially since the odds of 1.91 make it a primary option.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On corners, Celta averages 4.4 per match, PAOK 5, totaling 9.4. In the last 5 games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred only once for each team, with less productive outcomes otherwise. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 9.5: odds for over 9.5 are 2.19, under 1.60. It's also worth noting that for corner outcomes, Celta is favored with odds of 1.55. Considering the average values and rare occurrences of high totals, it makes sense to consider cautious bets on moderate corner totals, such as under 9.5 or individual team totals.