Prediction for match Celta — Rayo Vallecano, 18.01.2026

Match Analysis: Celta vs Rayo Vallecano

In La Liga on January 18, Celta will face Rayo Vallecano. The betting odds are as follows: Celta win at 2.09, draw at 3.30, and Rayo Vallecano win at 4.26. In terms of probability: Celta - 47.08%, draw - 29.82%, Rayo Vallecano - 23.10%. Celta is favored by both bookmakers and probability, but the gap with a draw is not large, adding intrigue to the betting choices. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available with a range of odds, allowing for an optimal match prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

Celta has recently beaten Sevilla 1-0, thrashed Valencia 4-1, and drawn 0-0 with Real Oviedo in their last three matches. Rayo Vallecano lost 0-2 to Alaves, defeated Mallorca 2-1, and beat Granada 3-1 in their last three games. In a five-match series, Celta averages 48% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Rayo Vallecano averages 55% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on September 21, 2025, the teams drew 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano's ground. Previous encounters have also seen draws and narrow victories, indicating a tight contest between these teams. Overall, the secondary statistics suggest activity from both sides without a clear dominance.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Celta's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, under three times. For Rayo Vallecano, it's the opposite - three out of five over 2.5 goals, two under. Celta's average goals per match is 2.4, Rayo Vallecano's is 3. Celta scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 0.6, while Rayo Vallecano scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. By halves: both teams had only one game out of five with over 1.5 goals in the first half, but three out of five in the second half. In goal intervals, Celta often scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (38% each), while Rayo Vallecano scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (30%). Celta concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (67%), and Rayo Vallecano in the last 76-90 minutes (40%). Thus, both teams tend to be more productive in the second half. Against this backdrop, a bet on total over 2.0 at 1.66 seems logical: both teams have the potential to score, especially after the break, and the average goal figures support the over.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Celta averages 3 corners per match, Rayo Vallecano 6.6. For total over 9.5 corners: Celta only 1 out of 5, Rayo Vallecano 3 out of 5. Among corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is at 9.5: total corners over 9.5 at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.90. For the outcome on corners, Celta is favored with odds of 1.70. In this match, considering the high corner activity of Rayo Vallecano and the overall average of both teams, betting on over 9.5 corners makes sense. It's also worth noting Rayo Vallecano's consistent high corner count in recent games.