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Prediction for match Central Coast Mariners — Melbourne Victory

Match prediction Central Coast Mariners — Melbourne Victory, A-League, 01.02.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the A-League on February 1st, Central Coast Mariners will face Melbourne Victory. According to the 1X2 odds, Melbourne Victory is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.68, a draw at 4.11, and a Central Coast Mariners win at 5.01. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Central Coast Mariners - 19.23%, draw - 23.44%, Melbourne Victory - 57.34%. This setup reflects Melbourne Victory's advantage in current form and performance, suggesting a high likelihood of them taking all three points.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Central Coast Mariners played as follows: 24.01.2026 - Auckland - Central Coast Mariners - 2-2, 18.01.2026 - Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur - 1-1, 10.01.2026 - Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners - 3-0. During the same period, Melbourne Victory achieved these results: 26.01.2026 - Melbourne Victory - Sydney - 4-0, 17.01.2026 - Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory - 2-1, 10.01.2026 - Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers - 0-1. On average over the last five games, Central Coast Mariners have 38.4% possession, receive 2.2 yellow cards, commit 11.2 fouls, and have 0.6 offsides per match. Melbourne Victory averages 53.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head meeting was on March 8, 2025: Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners - 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, both teams show a strong over-profile: Central Coast Mariners had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, and Melbourne Victory also in 4 out of 5. The average total goals per match for Central Coast Mariners is 3.2, and for Melbourne Victory, it's 3.8. Central Coast Mariners score and concede 1.6 goals on average, while Melbourne Victory scores 2.6 and concedes 1.2. By halves, Central Coast Mariners had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 times out of 5, and in the second half - 2 out of 5. Melbourne Victory had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times out of 5, and in the first half - 2 out of 5. Central Coast Mariners most frequently score between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (29% each), and concede most often between 16-30 minutes (33%). Melbourne Victory's most productive periods are 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and they concede most often between 16-30 minutes (40%). All this indicates a high probability of a high-scoring match, where both teams are likely to score, and goals can come in both halves. The most logical choice seems to be a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.73.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five games, Central Coast Mariners averaged 4.2 corners, while Melbourne Victory averaged 6.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred 5 out of 5 times for Central Coast Mariners, and 2 out of 5 for Melbourne Victory. Among the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (10.4) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 1.90, under 10.5 at 1.78. For the corner outcome, Melbourne Victory is the favorite with odds of 1.48. Considering the high corner-taking activity of both teams and the frequent over 9.5 total for Central Coast Mariners, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified.

Sportwars.net prediction for the Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory match, 2026-02-01 - Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.73. Correct score: 1-2, odds 7.50.
01.02.26
FT
Central Coast Mariners
Central Coast Mariners
1
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
0
Tip:
Over 2.5
Odds:
1.73
Author: Sportwars AI Model
The prediction is based on recent match statistics, head-to-head results, and the current form of the teams. The text and data have been verified by the website team.
30.01.26, 21:05
* statistical data are taken from the match page section Teams stats comparison

Other predictions

In the A-League match between Macarthur and Central Coast Mariners, the odds for a Macarthur victory are 1.70, a draw is at 4.24, and a Central Coast Mariners win is valued at 4.75. Probability: Macarthur win 56.86%, draw 22.80%, Central Coast Mariners win 20.35%. Macarthur is favored, but both teams' goal and total stats are quite close.
02.03.26, 18:39
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