Prediction for match Cerezo Osaka — Fagiano Okayama

Match Analysis: Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama

In the J1 League on 18.03.2026, Cerezo Osaka will face Fagiano Okayama. Bookmakers have Cerezo Osaka as the favorites, offering odds of 1.85 with a 50.62% probability of victory. A draw is priced at 3.64 (25.73%), and a win for Fagiano Okayama is at 3.96 (23.65%). This indicates that Cerezo Osaka has the upper hand in odds and percentages, reflecting the balance of power in this matchup. Both clubs come into the game with different streaks, but Cerezo Osaka is given the most trust in terms of probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Cerezo Osaka has an average ball possession of 54%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Fagiano Okayama is less active in possession (40.2%) but commits more fouls (14.6), with 1.2 yellow cards and 1.8 offsides. In the last three matches, Cerezo Osaka played: 14.03.2026 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1-2, 07.03.2026 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4-2, 28.02.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki - Cerezo Osaka 1-0. For Fagiano Okayama: 14.03.2026 Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama 5-3, 08.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga 1-0, 01.03.2026 Fagiano Okayama - Nagoya Grampus 6-5. Their last head-to-head was on 18.10.2025: Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Cerezo Osaka averages 1.8 goals per match, while Fagiano Okayama averages 2.0. Both teams score 1 goal per game, with Cerezo Osaka conceding 0.8 and Fagiano Okayama 1. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Cerezo Osaka has 2 out of 5 matches, while Fagiano Okayama has only 1 out of 5. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred once for Cerezo Osaka and twice for Fagiano Okayama. In the second half, both teams have 2 matches with over 1.5 goals. Cerezo Osaka most frequently scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Fagiano Okayama scores most in the 76-90 minute interval (40%). Both teams tend to concede goals towards the end: Cerezo Osaka 33% in the 76-90 interval, Fagiano Okayama 40% in the same period. Considering the low scoring in recent matches and frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Cerezo Osaka averages 5.2 corners per match, while Fagiano Okayama averages 6.4. In the last 5 games, both teams have exceeded 9.5 total corners 3 times. The line closest to their average is 11.5. Odds for over 11.5 corners are 2.44, while under is 1.49. Cerezo Osaka is favored in corners with odds of 1.72. It is expected that both teams will earn enough corners to consider a bet on over 11.5 corners, but a bet on Cerezo Osaka to win the corner count also seems logical given their consistent performance.