Prediction for match Cesena — Spezia

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie B on February 21st, Cesena will face Spezia. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.18 for a Cesena win, 3.20 for a draw, and 3.38 for a Spezia victory. The outcome probabilities are: Cesena 42.99%, draw 29.29%, Spezia 27.73%. Cesena has the advantage in terms of odds and probabilities, but the gap is not critical, indicating a potentially hard-fought match. The market also offers options for totals, both teams to score, individual performances, and corners, allowing for various betting strategies.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cesena has an average possession of 49.4%, with 3 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Over the same period, Spezia maintains 49.2% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 15.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three games, Cesena lost to Venezia 0-4 (14.02.2026), was defeated by Virtus Entella 1-3 (10.02.2026), and beat Pescara 2-0 (06.02.2026). Spezia, in their last three outings, lost to Frosinone 0-2 (15.02.2026), drew with Bari 0-0 (11.02.2026), and tied with Virtus Entella 1-1 (07.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on 18.10.2025, Spezia lost to Cesena 1-2.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

Over the last five games, Cesena has an average total goal count of 3.4, scoring 1 and conceding 2.4. Spezia shows low scoring efficiency in the same period: an average total goal count of 1.2, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Cesena has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Spezia has 0 out of 5 over and 5 out of 5 under. By halves, Cesena has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half, while Spezia has only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 0 out of 5 in the second. Cesena most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (30% each), while Spezia scores most often between the 16th-30th minutes (67%). For goals conceded, Cesena's most frequent interval is the 76th-90th minutes (38%), and for Spezia, it's three intervals at 33% each: 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 46th-60th minutes. Considering Cesena's high-scoring matches and Spezia's weak attack, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems justified: Cesena's matches often go over, but Spezia rarely scores and keeps opponents in check, reducing the likelihood of many goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Cesena averages 7 corners per match, while Spezia averages 6.4. In their last five matches, both teams have gone over 9.5 total corners in all games. The total closest to their combined average (13.4) is 9.5, with both sides available: over 9.5 at 1.79, under 9.5 also at 1.89. Cesena is favored in corners with odds of 1.74. Given both teams' corner statistics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners, as both teams consistently exceed this mark in recent matches.